Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Noah Song

BOS · AAA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#6,193
Score16.3
Baseline20
Signal-29.1
Trend-3.0
Floor20
Baseline20
Ceiling29
Confidence60 Risk54 Model WatchFalling projection
Player profile

Noah Song

BOS · AAA · P

Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 29.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#6,193
Prospect Score16.3
Median20
Performance Signal-29.1
Trend-3.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range-3.0
202029
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -29.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 17 Latest recorded 20
25 19 13 2026-08-16 · Median 17 2026-08-17 · Median 17 2026-08-18 · Median 17 2026-08-19 · Median 17 2026-08-20 · Median 17 2026-08-22 · Median 17 2026-08-23 · Median 18.1 2026-08-25 · Median 18.1 2026-08-27 · Median 18.7 2026-08-28 · Median 18.4 2026-09-01 · Median 18.4 2026-09-02 · Median 18.4 2026-09-03 · Median 18.7 2026-09-05 · Median 18.7 2026-09-06 · Median 18.7 2026-09-09 · Median 20.1 2026-09-14 · Median 20.3 2026-09-15 · Median 20.3 2026-09-16 · Median 20 2026-09-17 · Median 20 2026-09-18 · Median 20 2026-09-19 · Median 20 2026-09-21 · Median 20 2026-09-22 · Median 20 2026-09-24 · Median 20 2026-09-25 · Median 20 2026-09-29 · Median 20 2026-09-30 · Median 20 2026-10-03 · Median 20 2026-10-04 · Median 20 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 20

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0420
2026-10-0320
2026-09-3020
2026-09-2920
2026-09-2520
2026-09-2420
2026-09-2220
2026-09-2120
2026-09-1920
2026-09-1820
2026-09-1720
2026-09-1620
2026-09-1520.3
2026-09-1420.3
2026-09-0920.1
2026-09-0618.7
2026-09-0518.7
2026-09-0318.7
2026-09-0218.4
2026-09-0118.4
2026-08-2818.4
2026-08-2718.7
2026-08-2518.1
2026-08-2318.1
2026-08-2217
2026-08-2017
2026-08-1917
2026-08-1817
2026-08-1717
2026-08-1617

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Declining
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 60
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 54
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range-3.0
202029
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -29.1

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 54
Model WatchFalling projection
Confidence60
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.8
Projected range15–65
Arrival probability19%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.