Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Nolan Schubart

CLE · AA · 1B · Age 22

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score69.1#223 Overall
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Performance62Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor62Lower-end outcome
Baseline66Most likely outcome
Ceiling71High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
62Solid current performance
Power.293 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact33.7% KContact risk
Approach19.2% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Hit40
Power60
Run30
Field30
Arm40

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh92How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh12Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection49.9
Projected Range33–67
Arrival Probability77%
Productive Role Probability28%
Player Background
OrganizationCleveland Guardians
LevelAA
Position1B
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 68 Latest recorded 66
73 67.5 62 2026-09-02 · Median 68 2026-09-03 · Median 68 2026-09-05 · Median 69 2026-09-06 · Median 69 2026-09-09 · Median 67 2026-09-14 · Median 66.6 2026-09-15 · Median 67 2026-09-16 · Median 67 2026-09-17 · Median 66 2026-09-18 · Median 66 2026-09-19 · Median 66 2026-09-21 · Median 66 2026-09-22 · Median 66 2026-09-24 · Median 66 2026-09-25 · Median 66 2026-09-29 · Median 66 2026-09-30 · Median 66 2026-10-03 · Median 66 2026-10-04 · Median 66 2026-10-05 · Median 66 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 66

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0566
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2026-09-1466.6
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