Player Profile
Nolan Sparks
STL · AA · P · Age 24
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score56.6#951 Overall
Baseline53Most likely outcome
Performance51Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor47Lower-end outcome
Baseline53Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.
Performance
Selected evidence51Developing performance profile
Miss ability10.6 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command4.0 BB/9Near expected range
Traffic prevention1.40 WHIPNear expected range
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleIndividual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.
Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid61How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.1
Projected Range20–70
Arrival Probability21%
Productive Role Probability3%
Player Background
OrganizationSt. Louis Cardinals
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 60
Latest recorded 53
2026-10-05 · Median 53
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 53 |
| 2026-10-04 | 53 |
| 2026-10-03 | 53 |
| 2026-09-30 | 53 |
| 2026-09-29 | 53 |
| 2026-09-25 | 53 |
| 2026-09-24 | 53 |
| 2026-09-22 | 53 |
| 2026-09-21 | 53 |
| 2026-09-19 | 53 |
| 2026-09-18 | 53 |
| 2026-09-17 | 53 |
| 2026-09-16 | 53 |
| 2026-09-15 | 53 |
| 2026-09-14 | 53 |
| 2026-09-09 | 55 |
| 2026-09-06 | 61 |
| 2026-09-05 | 61 |
| 2026-09-03 | 61 |
| 2026-09-02 | 60 |