Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Oliver Tejada

SF · Single-A · OF · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score57.0#916 Overall
Baseline54Most likely outcome
Performance49Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor47Lower-end outcome
Baseline54Most likely outcome
Ceiling61High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
49Developing performance profile
Power.193 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact25.6% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.344 OBPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh3Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection35.9
Projected Range18–54
Arrival Probability12%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationSan Francisco Giants
LevelSingle-A
PositionOF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 58 Latest recorded 54
62 56 50 2026-09-02 · Median 58 2026-09-03 · Median 58 2026-09-05 · Median 58 2026-09-06 · Median 58 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 54.4 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 54 2026-09-21 · Median 54 2026-09-22 · Median 54 2026-09-24 · Median 54 2026-09-25 · Median 54 2026-09-29 · Median 54 2026-09-30 · Median 54 2026-10-03 · Median 54 2026-10-04 · Median 54 2026-10-05 · Median 54 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 54

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0554
2026-10-0454
2026-10-0354
2026-09-3054
2026-09-2954
2026-09-2554
2026-09-2454
2026-09-2254
2026-09-2154
2026-09-1954
2026-09-1854
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1654
2026-09-1554
2026-09-1454.4
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0658
2026-09-0558
2026-09-0358
2026-09-0258