Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Omar Alfonzo

NYY · AA · C

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,158
Score54.4
Baseline55
Signal-10.6
Trend0.0
Floor49
Baseline55
Ceiling59
Confidence92 Risk21 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Omar Alfonzo

NYY · AA · C

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 23.2 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,158
Prospect Score54.4
Median55
Performance Signal-10.6
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
495559
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.6

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 23 Latest recorded 55
59 39 19 2026-08-16 · Median 23 2026-08-17 · Median 23 2026-08-18 · Median 23 2026-08-19 · Median 23 2026-08-20 · Median 48 2026-08-22 · Median 48 2026-08-23 · Median 47.6 2026-08-25 · Median 47.6 2026-08-27 · Median 52 2026-08-28 · Median 52 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.6 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-10-04 · Median 55 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0455
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
2026-09-2955
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1454.6
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2852
2026-08-2752
2026-08-2547.6
2026-08-2347.6
2026-08-2248
2026-08-2048
2026-08-1923
2026-08-1823
2026-08-1723
2026-08-1623

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 92
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 21
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
495559
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.6

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 21
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence92
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection29.6
Projected range12–47
Arrival probability15%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.