Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Owen Carapellotti

TOR · Single-A · C · Age 23

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score51.5#1,513 Overall
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Performance52Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor42Lower-end outcome
Baseline49Most likely outcome
Ceiling59High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
52Developing performance profile
Power.307 ISOAbove-average game power
Contact27.0% KNear expected range
Approach15.3% BBStrong on-base approach

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid57How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh12Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection45.7
Projected Range27–64
Arrival Probability6%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationToronto Blue Jays
LevelSingle-A
PositionC
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 49
53 41 29 2026-09-02 · Median 33 2026-09-03 · Median 33 2026-09-05 · Median 33 2026-09-06 · Median 33 2026-09-09 · Median 49 2026-09-14 · Median 48.7 2026-09-15 · Median 49 2026-09-16 · Median 49 2026-09-17 · Median 49 2026-09-18 · Median 49 2026-09-19 · Median 49 2026-09-21 · Median 49 2026-09-22 · Median 49 2026-09-24 · Median 49 2026-09-25 · Median 49 2026-09-29 · Median 49 2026-09-30 · Median 49 2026-10-03 · Median 49 2026-10-04 · Median 49 2026-10-05 · Median 49 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 49

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0549
2026-10-0449
2026-10-0349
2026-09-3049
2026-09-2949
2026-09-2549
2026-09-2449
2026-09-2249
2026-09-2149
2026-09-1949
2026-09-1849
2026-09-1749
2026-09-1649
2026-09-1549
2026-09-1448.7
2026-09-0949
2026-09-0633
2026-09-0533
2026-09-0333
2026-09-0233