Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Pablo Guerrero

TEX · Single-A · 1B · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score65.6#356 Overall
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Performance67Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor56Lower-end outcome
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Ceiling70High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
67Solid current performance
Offensive impact1.029 OPSStrong overall offensive impact
Contact20.2% KNear expected range
On-base foundation.461 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection36.0
Projected Range18–54
Arrival Probability11%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationTexas Rangers
LevelSingle-A
Position1B
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 63
67 57.5 48 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 61.9 2026-09-15 · Median 62 2026-09-16 · Median 62 2026-09-17 · Median 62 2026-09-18 · Median 62 2026-09-19 · Median 62 2026-09-21 · Median 62 2026-09-22 · Median 62 2026-09-24 · Median 63 2026-09-25 · Median 63 2026-09-29 · Median 63 2026-09-30 · Median 63 2026-10-03 · Median 63 2026-10-04 · Median 63 2026-10-05 · Median 63 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 63

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0563
2026-10-0463
2026-10-0363
2026-09-3063
2026-09-2963
2026-09-2563
2026-09-2463
2026-09-2262
2026-09-2162
2026-09-1962
2026-09-1862
2026-09-1762
2026-09-1662
2026-09-1562
2026-09-1461.9
2026-09-0962
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252