Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Pascanel Ferreras

HOU · AAA · 2B

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 24.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#980
Prospect Score56.4
Median52
Performance Signal-6.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
465259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 63 Latest recorded 52
67 57.5 48 2026-07-14 · Median 63 2026-07-16 · Median 63 2026-07-21 · Median 60 2026-07-22 · Median 60 2026-07-23 · Median 60 2026-08-20 · Median 55 2026-08-22 · Median 55 2026-08-23 · Median 54.6 2026-08-25 · Median 54.6 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 55 2026-09-02 · Median 55 2026-09-03 · Median 55 2026-09-05 · Median 55 2026-09-06 · Median 55 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 53.6 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 53 2026-09-19 · Median 53 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-07-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1953
2026-09-1853
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1654
2026-09-1554
2026-09-1453.6
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0655
2026-09-0555
2026-09-0355
2026-09-0255
2026-09-0155
2026-08-2854
2026-08-2754
2026-08-2554.6
2026-08-2354.6
2026-08-2255
2026-08-2055
2026-07-2360
2026-07-2260
2026-07-2160
2026-07-1663
2026-07-1463

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 64
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 0
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
465259
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence64
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection32.7
Projected range15–50
Arrival probability40%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.