Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Pat Gallagher

TOR · AAA · P · Age 26

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score47.7#1,987 Overall
Baseline46Most likely outcome
Performance54Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor39Lower-end outcome
Baseline46Most likely outcome
Ceiling57High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
54Developing performance profile
Miss ability12.4 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Dominance22.0% K-BBStrong strikeout-to-walk foundation
Traffic prevention1.51 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid62How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh20Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection50.7
Projected Range26–75
Arrival Probability33%
Productive Role Probability6%
Player Background
OrganizationToronto Blue Jays
LevelAAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 46 Latest recorded 46
52 47 42 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 46.8 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 46 2026-10-03 · Median 46 2026-10-04 · Median 46 2026-10-05 · Median 46 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 46

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0546
2026-10-0446
2026-10-0346
2026-09-3046
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2026-09-1446.8
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0546
2026-09-0346
2026-09-0246