Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Patrick Forbes

ARI · High-A · P

Arizona Diamondbacks · Age at assessment: 22.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 80%
PB Rank#96
Prospect Score75
Median70
Performance70
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 45; command evidence sits near the 97th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 2.1

What could change the read

  • A 12.4 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+25.2 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 92
Command+55.5 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 97

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 34 Latest recorded 70
74 51.5 29 2026-06-04 · Median 34 2026-06-05 · Median 34 2026-06-06 · Median 34 2026-06-07 · Median 34 2026-06-08 · Median 33 2026-06-09 · Median 33 2026-06-10 · Median 33 2026-06-11 · Median 58 2026-06-12 · Median 58 2026-06-13 · Median 58 2026-06-14 · Median 58 2026-06-15 · Median 58 2026-06-16 · Median 58 2026-06-17 · Median 58 2026-06-18 · Median 58 2026-06-19 · Median 58 2026-06-20 · Median 58 2026-06-21 · Median 58 2026-06-22 · Median 58 2026-06-23 · Median 58 2026-06-24 · Median 57 2026-06-25 · Median 57 2026-06-26 · Median 57 2026-06-28 · Median 57 2026-06-29 · Median 57 2026-06-30 · Median 57 2026-07-01 · Median 57 2026-07-03 · Median 57 2026-07-05 · Median 57 2026-07-07 · Median 57 2026-07-09 · Median 57 2026-07-11 · Median 57 2026-07-12 · Median 57 2026-07-14 · Median 57 2026-07-16 · Median 57 2026-07-21 · Median 57 2026-07-22 · Median 57 2026-07-23 · Median 57 2026-07-24 · Median 57 2026-07-25 · Median 57 2026-07-26 · Median 57 2026-07-27 · Median 57 2026-07-28 · Median 57 2026-07-29 · Median 57 2026-07-30 · Median 56 2026-07-31 · Median 56 2026-08-01 · Median 56 2026-08-03 · Median 56 2026-08-05 · Median 56 2026-08-07 · Median 56 2026-08-08 · Median 56 2026-08-09 · Median 56 2026-08-10 · Median 56 2026-08-11 · Median 56 2026-08-13 · Median 56 2026-08-14 · Median 56 2026-08-16 · Median 56 2026-08-17 · Median 56 2026-08-18 · Median 56 2026-08-19 · Median 56 2026-08-20 · Median 56 2026-08-22 · Median 56 2026-08-23 · Median 56.3 2026-08-25 · Median 56.3 2026-08-27 · Median 57 2026-08-28 · Median 57 2026-09-01 · Median 57 2026-09-02 · Median 57 2026-09-03 · Median 57 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 70 2026-09-14 · Median 69.7 2026-09-15 · Median 70 2026-09-16 · Median 70 2026-09-17 · Median 70 2026-09-18 · Median 70 2026-09-19 · Median 70 2026-09-21 · Median 70 2026-09-22 · Median 70 2026-09-24 · Median 70 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 70

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2470
2026-09-2270
2026-09-2170
2026-09-1970
2026-09-1870
2026-09-1770
2026-09-1670
2026-09-1570
2026-09-1469.7
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2026-08-2857
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2026-08-2556.3
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Metrics to follow

BB/9 2.1

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 0.90

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 29.3%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G11
IP29.2
ERA2.73
WHIP0.91
K/912.4
BB/92.1
K-BB%29.3%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
647076
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 70

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch71 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence83
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production59.5
Historical 80% error band35–84
MLB arrival in 3 years11%
Productive MLB role in 3 years2%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball60Above Avg
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup45Fringe
Command icon
Control45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall45Fringe

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels006.001103.05220152.0015.00
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Hillsboro HopsHigh-A002.931010027.2209937380.9812.36
2026ACL D-backsACL000.001002.00000030.0013.50
20262 teams · TotalAll levels002.731110029.2209937410.9112.44

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Arizona Diamondbacks profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.