Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Paul Mendoza

MIA · DSL · P · Age 22

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score17.8#6,115 Overall
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Performance32Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline29Most likely outcome
Ceiling47High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
32Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceLimited27How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited92Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationMiami Marlins
LevelDSL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 29 Change +0.8
33 28.5 24 2026-09-02 · Median 28.2 2026-09-03 · Median 28.2 2026-09-05 · Median 28.2 2026-09-06 · Median 28.2 2026-09-09 · Median 28.6 2026-09-14 · Median 28.6 2026-09-15 · Median 28.6 2026-09-16 · Median 29 2026-09-17 · Median 29 2026-09-18 · Median 29 2026-09-19 · Median 29 2026-09-21 · Median 29 2026-09-22 · Median 29 2026-09-24 · Median 29 2026-09-25 · Median 29 2026-09-29 · Median 29 2026-09-30 · Median 29 2026-10-03 · Median 29 2026-10-04 · Median 29 2026-10-05 · Median 29 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 29

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0529
2026-10-0429
2026-10-0329
2026-09-3029
2026-09-2929
2026-09-2529
2026-09-2429
2026-09-2229
2026-09-2129
2026-09-1929
2026-09-1829
2026-09-1729
2026-09-1629
2026-09-1528.6
2026-09-1428.6
2026-09-0928.6
2026-09-0628.2
2026-09-0528.2
2026-09-0328.2
2026-09-0228.2