Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Payton Eeles

BAL · AAA · 2B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#3,680
Score36.2
Baseline35
Signal-14.2
Trend0.0
Floor28
Baseline35
Ceiling42
Confidence61 Risk27 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Payton Eeles

BAL · AAA · 2B

Baltimore Orioles · Age at assessment: 26.9 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#3,680
Prospect Score36.2
Median35
Performance Signal-14.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
283542
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -14.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 35
42 32 22 2026-08-16 · Median 26 2026-08-17 · Median 26 2026-08-18 · Median 26 2026-08-19 · Median 26 2026-08-20 · Median 37 2026-08-22 · Median 37 2026-08-23 · Median 37.2 2026-08-25 · Median 37.2 2026-08-27 · Median 37 2026-08-28 · Median 37 2026-09-01 · Median 37 2026-09-02 · Median 37 2026-09-03 · Median 37 2026-09-05 · Median 37 2026-09-06 · Median 37 2026-09-09 · Median 36 2026-09-14 · Median 35.8 2026-09-15 · Median 36 2026-09-16 · Median 36 2026-09-17 · Median 36 2026-09-18 · Median 36 2026-09-19 · Median 36 2026-09-21 · Median 35 2026-09-22 · Median 35 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-09-25 · Median 35 2026-09-29 · Median 35 2026-09-30 · Median 35 2026-10-03 · Median 35 2026-10-04 · Median 35 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 35

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0435
2026-10-0335
2026-09-3035
2026-09-2935
2026-09-2535
2026-09-2435
2026-09-2235
2026-09-2135
2026-09-1936
2026-09-1836
2026-09-1736
2026-09-1636
2026-09-1536
2026-09-1435.8
2026-09-0936
2026-09-0637
2026-09-0537
2026-09-0337
2026-09-0237
2026-09-0137
2026-08-2837
2026-08-2737
2026-08-2537.2
2026-08-2337.2
2026-08-2237
2026-08-2037
2026-08-1926
2026-08-1826
2026-08-1726
2026-08-1626

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 61
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 27
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
283542
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -14.2

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 27
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence61
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection40.2
Projected range23–57
Arrival probability17%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.