Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Payton Martin

LAD · AA · P

Los Angeles Dodgers · Age at assessment: 22.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#726
Prospect Score59.6
Median53
Performance Signal-6.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
495358
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 53
58 52.5 47 2026-08-10 · Median 53 2026-08-11 · Median 53 2026-08-13 · Median 52 2026-08-14 · Median 52 2026-08-16 · Median 52 2026-08-17 · Median 52 2026-08-18 · Median 52 2026-08-19 · Median 52 2026-08-20 · Median 51.9 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 52.9 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 54 2026-09-21 · Median 54 2026-09-22 · Median 54 2026-09-24 · Median 54 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-08-10 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2454
2026-09-2254
2026-09-2154
2026-09-1954
2026-09-1854
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1654
2026-09-1554
2026-09-1452.9
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2051.9
2026-08-1952
2026-08-1852
2026-08-1752
2026-08-1652
2026-08-1452
2026-08-1352
2026-08-1153
2026-08-1053

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 93
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 6
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
495358
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -6.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 6
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence93
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection39.5
Projected range17–62
Arrival probability18%
Productive role probability2%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.