Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Pedro Da Costa Lemos

SEA · High-A · P

Seattle Mariners · Age at assessment: 23.4 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#887
Prospect Score57.5
Median54
Performance Signal+12.1
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
465465
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +12.1

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 40 Latest recorded 54
59 47 35 2026-08-14 · Median 40 2026-08-16 · Median 40 2026-08-17 · Median 40 2026-08-18 · Median 40 2026-08-19 · Median 40 2026-08-20 · Median 40 2026-08-22 · Median 40 2026-08-23 · Median 39.4 2026-08-25 · Median 39.4 2026-08-27 · Median 39 2026-08-28 · Median 39 2026-09-01 · Median 39 2026-09-02 · Median 39 2026-09-03 · Median 39 2026-09-05 · Median 39 2026-09-06 · Median 39 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.8 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 54 2026-09-30 · Median 54 2026-10-03 · Median 54 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 54

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0354
2026-09-3054
2026-09-2954
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1454.8
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0639
2026-09-0539
2026-09-0339
2026-09-0239
2026-09-0139
2026-08-2839
2026-08-2739
2026-08-2539.4
2026-08-2339.4
2026-08-2240
2026-08-2040
2026-08-1940
2026-08-1840
2026-08-1740
2026-08-1640
2026-08-1440

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 50
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
465465
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +12.1

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence50
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection47.4
Projected range23–72
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.