Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Poly Ojeda

NYY · DSL · C

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#613
Score61.0
Baseline59
Signal+32.0
Trend0.0
Floor50
Baseline59
Ceiling69
Confidence51 Risk24 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Poly Ojeda

NYY · DSL · C

New York Yankees · Age at assessment: 17.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#613
Prospect Score61.0
Median59
Performance Signal+32.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
505969
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +32.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 60 Latest recorded 59
64 59.5 55 2026-08-16 · Median 60 2026-08-17 · Median 60 2026-08-18 · Median 59 2026-08-19 · Median 59 2026-08-20 · Median 59 2026-08-22 · Median 59 2026-08-23 · Median 59.4 2026-08-25 · Median 59.4 2026-08-27 · Median 59 2026-08-28 · Median 59 2026-09-01 · Median 59 2026-09-02 · Median 59 2026-09-03 · Median 59 2026-09-05 · Median 59 2026-09-06 · Median 59 2026-09-09 · Median 60 2026-09-14 · Median 59.7 2026-09-15 · Median 60 2026-09-16 · Median 60 2026-09-17 · Median 60 2026-09-18 · Median 59 2026-09-19 · Median 59 2026-09-21 · Median 59 2026-09-22 · Median 59 2026-09-24 · Median 59 2026-09-25 · Median 59 2026-09-29 · Median 59 2026-09-30 · Median 59 2026-10-03 · Median 59 2026-10-04 · Median 59 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 59

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0459
2026-10-0359
2026-09-3059
2026-09-2959
2026-09-2559
2026-09-2459
2026-09-2259
2026-09-2159
2026-09-1959
2026-09-1859
2026-09-1760
2026-09-1660
2026-09-1560
2026-09-1459.7
2026-09-0960
2026-09-0659
2026-09-0559
2026-09-0359
2026-09-0259
2026-09-0159
2026-08-2859
2026-08-2759
2026-08-2559.4
2026-08-2359.4
2026-08-2259
2026-08-2059
2026-08-1959
2026-08-1859
2026-08-1760
2026-08-1660

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 51
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 24
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
505969
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +32.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence51
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection52.6
Projected range34–71
Arrival probability18%
Productive role probability8%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.