Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Rafi Vazquez

NYM · High-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#4,686
Score29.3
Baseline30
Signal+3.5
Trend0.0
Floor21
Baseline30
Ceiling49
Confidence44 Risk51 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Rafi Vazquez

NYM · High-A · P

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 28.8 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#4,686
Prospect Score29.3
Median30
Performance Signal+3.5
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
213049
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +3.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 24 Latest recorded 30
35 27 19 2026-08-16 · Median 24 2026-08-17 · Median 24 2026-08-18 · Median 24 2026-08-19 · Median 24 2026-08-20 · Median 24 2026-08-22 · Median 24 2026-08-23 · Median 23.3 2026-08-25 · Median 23.3 2026-08-27 · Median 25 2026-08-28 · Median 25 2026-09-01 · Median 26 2026-09-02 · Median 26 2026-09-03 · Median 28 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 31 2026-09-14 · Median 30.2 2026-09-15 · Median 30 2026-09-16 · Median 30 2026-09-17 · Median 30 2026-09-18 · Median 30 2026-09-19 · Median 30 2026-09-21 · Median 30 2026-09-22 · Median 30 2026-09-24 · Median 30 2026-09-25 · Median 30 2026-09-29 · Median 30 2026-09-30 · Median 30 2026-10-03 · Median 30 2026-10-04 · Median 30 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 30

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0430
2026-10-0330
2026-09-3030
2026-09-2930
2026-09-2530
2026-09-2430
2026-09-2230
2026-09-2130
2026-09-1930
2026-09-1830
2026-09-1730
2026-09-1630
2026-09-1530
2026-09-1430.2
2026-09-0931
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328
2026-09-0226
2026-09-0126
2026-08-2825
2026-08-2725
2026-08-2523.3
2026-08-2323.3
2026-08-2224
2026-08-2024
2026-08-1924
2026-08-1824
2026-08-1724
2026-08-1624

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 44
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 51
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
213049
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +3.5

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 51
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence44
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection57.4
Projected range33–82
Arrival probability2%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.