Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Rainiel Rodriguez

STL · AA · C

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 19.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact results ahead of the tool grade

Current contact and on-base results are outperforming the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#3
Prospect Score91
Median88
Performance76
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 55; contact evidence sits near the 89th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 19.1%

What could change the read

  • A 0.413 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+31.0 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 89
Game Power+20.7 percentile gap
Expected 75 Observed 96

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 80 Latest recorded 88
92 83 74 2026-06-04 · Median 80 2026-06-05 · Median 80 2026-06-06 · Median 80 2026-06-07 · Median 80 2026-06-08 · Median 80 2026-06-09 · Median 80 2026-06-10 · Median 80 2026-06-11 · Median 80 2026-06-12 · Median 80 2026-06-13 · Median 80 2026-06-14 · Median 80 2026-06-15 · Median 80 2026-06-16 · Median 80 2026-06-17 · Median 80 2026-06-18 · Median 80 2026-06-19 · Median 80 2026-06-20 · Median 80 2026-06-21 · Median 80 2026-06-22 · Median 80 2026-06-23 · Median 80 2026-06-24 · Median 80 2026-06-25 · Median 80 2026-06-26 · Median 80 2026-06-28 · Median 80 2026-06-29 · Median 80 2026-06-30 · Median 80 2026-07-01 · Median 80 2026-07-03 · Median 78 2026-07-05 · Median 78 2026-07-07 · Median 78 2026-07-09 · Median 78 2026-07-11 · Median 78 2026-07-12 · Median 78 2026-07-14 · Median 78 2026-07-16 · Median 78 2026-07-21 · Median 78 2026-07-22 · Median 78 2026-07-23 · Median 78 2026-07-24 · Median 78 2026-07-25 · Median 78 2026-07-26 · Median 78 2026-07-27 · Median 78 2026-07-28 · Median 78 2026-07-29 · Median 78 2026-07-30 · Median 79 2026-07-31 · Median 79 2026-08-01 · Median 79 2026-08-03 · Median 80 2026-08-05 · Median 79 2026-08-07 · Median 79 2026-08-08 · Median 80 2026-08-09 · Median 80 2026-08-10 · Median 80 2026-08-11 · Median 80 2026-08-13 · Median 80 2026-08-14 · Median 81 2026-08-16 · Median 82 2026-08-17 · Median 82 2026-08-18 · Median 83 2026-08-19 · Median 83 2026-08-20 · Median 83 2026-08-22 · Median 84 2026-08-23 · Median 83.5 2026-08-25 · Median 83.5 2026-08-27 · Median 87 2026-08-28 · Median 86 2026-09-01 · Median 86 2026-09-02 · Median 86 2026-09-03 · Median 86 2026-09-05 · Median 86 2026-09-06 · Median 86 2026-09-09 · Median 87 2026-09-14 · Median 87.8 2026-09-15 · Median 88 2026-09-16 · Median 88 2026-09-17 · Median 88 2026-09-18 · Median 88 2026-09-19 · Median 88 2026-09-21 · Median 88 2026-09-22 · Median 88 2026-09-24 · Median 88 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 88

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2488
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Metrics to follow

K% 19.1%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 11.3%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.413

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G115
PA530
AVG.324
OBP.413
SLG.574
OPS.987
HR27
SB11
BB%11.3%
K%19.1%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
838893
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 76

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model WatchMLB #17 MLB Top 100
Confidence95
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production54.1
Historical 80% error band37–71
MLB arrival in 3 years96%
Productive MLB role in 3 years79%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit55Avg
Power icon
Power65Plus
Speed icon
Speed30Developmental
Defense icon
Defense45Fringe
Arm icon
Arm55Avg
Overall icon
Overall60Above Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Power Bat

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels14675314181041311111.340.463.5851.048
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Springfield CardinalsAA8740234574113220236641777.328.408.591.999
2026Peoria ChiefsHigh-A2812810623338142119244.311.430.519.949
20262 teams · TotalAll levels1155304519714630127876010111.324.413.574.987
2025Peoria ChiefsHigh-A41717251004020.294.294.353.647
2025Palm Beach CardinalsSingle-A602712253456151134338483.249.373.498.870
2025FCL CardinalsFCL20805923226071616151.373.513.8311.343
20253 teams · TotalAll levels843683015983221206354654.276.399.555.954
2024DSL CardinalsDSL411841423549123103830251.345.462.6831.145

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Chrome · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More St. Louis Cardinals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.