Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Randy Arias

HOU · DSL · SS

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 17.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Performance Signal Only
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Scouting comparison unavailable

Current performance can be evaluated, but a tool-to-results comparison requires verified scouting grades

Insufficient Evidence · 0%
PB Rank#1,867
Prospect Score49
Median47
Performance49
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
384755
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 49

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 39 Latest recorded 47
56 44 32 2026-06-04 · Median 39 2026-06-05 · Median 39 2026-06-06 · Median 39 2026-06-07 · Median 39 2026-06-08 · Median 39 2026-06-09 · Median 38 2026-06-10 · Median 38 2026-06-11 · Median 36 2026-06-12 · Median 36 2026-06-13 · Median 36 2026-06-14 · Median 36 2026-06-15 · Median 36 2026-06-16 · Median 36 2026-06-17 · Median 36 2026-06-18 · Median 36 2026-06-19 · Median 36 2026-06-20 · Median 36 2026-06-21 · Median 36 2026-06-22 · Median 36 2026-06-23 · Median 36 2026-06-24 · Median 36 2026-06-25 · Median 36 2026-06-26 · Median 36 2026-06-28 · Median 36 2026-06-29 · Median 36 2026-06-30 · Median 36 2026-07-01 · Median 36 2026-07-03 · Median 36 2026-07-05 · Median 48 2026-07-07 · Median 48 2026-07-09 · Median 48 2026-07-11 · Median 48 2026-07-12 · Median 49 2026-07-14 · Median 48 2026-07-16 · Median 48 2026-07-21 · Median 47 2026-07-22 · Median 47 2026-07-23 · Median 46 2026-07-24 · Median 48 2026-07-25 · Median 48 2026-07-26 · Median 48 2026-07-27 · Median 48 2026-07-28 · Median 48 2026-07-29 · Median 50 2026-07-30 · Median 50 2026-07-31 · Median 51 2026-08-01 · Median 50 2026-08-03 · Median 50 2026-08-05 · Median 52 2026-08-07 · Median 51 2026-08-08 · Median 50 2026-08-09 · Median 50 2026-08-10 · Median 50 2026-08-11 · Median 49 2026-08-13 · Median 49 2026-08-14 · Median 49 2026-08-16 · Median 48 2026-08-17 · Median 47 2026-08-18 · Median 47 2026-08-19 · Median 47 2026-08-20 · Median 47 2026-08-22 · Median 47 2026-08-23 · Median 46.7 2026-08-25 · Median 46.7 2026-08-27 · Median 47 2026-08-28 · Median 47 2026-09-01 · Median 47 2026-09-02 · Median 47 2026-09-03 · Median 47 2026-09-05 · Median 47 2026-09-06 · Median 47 2026-09-09 · Median 47 2026-09-14 · Median 46.9 2026-09-15 · Median 47 2026-09-16 · Median 47 2026-09-17 · Median 47 2026-09-18 · Median 47 2026-09-19 · Median 47 2026-09-21 · Median 47 2026-09-22 · Median 47 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2247
2026-09-2147
2026-09-1947
2026-09-1847
2026-09-1747
2026-09-1647
2026-09-1547
2026-09-1446.9
2026-09-0947
2026-09-0647
2026-09-0547
2026-09-0347
2026-09-0247
2026-09-0147
2026-08-2847
2026-08-2747
2026-08-2546.7
2026-08-2346.7
2026-08-2247
2026-08-2047
2026-08-1947
2026-08-1847
2026-08-1747
2026-08-1648
2026-08-1449
2026-08-1349
2026-08-1149
2026-08-1050
2026-08-0950
2026-08-0850
2026-08-0751
2026-08-0552
2026-08-0350
2026-08-0150
2026-07-3151
2026-07-3050
2026-07-2950
2026-07-2848
2026-07-2748
2026-07-2648
2026-07-2548
2026-07-2448
2026-07-2346
2026-07-2247
2026-07-2147
2026-07-1648
2026-07-1448
2026-07-1249
2026-07-1148
2026-07-0948
2026-07-0748
2026-07-0548
2026-07-0336
2026-07-0136
2026-06-3036
2026-06-2936
2026-06-2836
2026-06-2636
2026-06-2536
2026-06-2436
2026-06-2336
2026-06-2236
2026-06-2136
2026-06-2036
2026-06-1936
2026-06-1836
2026-06-1736
2026-06-1636
2026-06-1536
2026-06-1436
2026-06-1336
2026-06-1236
2026-06-1136
2026-06-1038
2026-06-0938
2026-06-0839
2026-06-0739
2026-06-0639
2026-06-0539
2026-06-0439

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G50
PA204
AVG.226
OBP.412
SLG.329
OPS.741
HR1
SB18
BB%23.0%
K%16.7%

DSL Astros Blue · DSL · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
384755
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 49

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 24
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence55
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production49.4
Historical 80% error band31–68
MLB arrival in 3 years7%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026DSL Astros BlueDSL50204155363573114473418.226.412.329.741

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

Checklist appearances

  • 2026 Bowman Chrome · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Houston Astros profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.