Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Randy Guzman

NYM · DSL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#1,908
Score48.3
Baseline52
Signal+10.8
Trend0.0
Floor42
Baseline52
Ceiling61
Confidence53 Risk38 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Randy Guzman

NYM · DSL · P

New York Mets · Age at assessment: 19.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#1,908
Prospect Score48.3
Median52
Performance Signal+10.8
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
425261
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.8

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 41 Latest recorded 52
56 46.5 37 2026-08-16 · Median 41 2026-08-17 · Median 43 2026-08-18 · Median 43 2026-08-19 · Median 43 2026-08-20 · Median 43 2026-08-22 · Median 43 2026-08-23 · Median 42.6 2026-08-25 · Median 42.6 2026-08-27 · Median 51 2026-08-28 · Median 51 2026-09-01 · Median 51 2026-09-02 · Median 51 2026-09-03 · Median 51 2026-09-05 · Median 51 2026-09-06 · Median 51 2026-09-09 · Median 52 2026-09-14 · Median 51.6 2026-09-15 · Median 52 2026-09-16 · Median 52 2026-09-17 · Median 52 2026-09-18 · Median 52 2026-09-19 · Median 52 2026-09-21 · Median 52 2026-09-22 · Median 52 2026-09-24 · Median 52 2026-09-25 · Median 52 2026-09-29 · Median 52 2026-09-30 · Median 52 2026-10-03 · Median 52 2026-10-04 · Median 52 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 52

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0452
2026-10-0352
2026-09-3052
2026-09-2952
2026-09-2552
2026-09-2452
2026-09-2252
2026-09-2152
2026-09-1952
2026-09-1852
2026-09-1752
2026-09-1652
2026-09-1552
2026-09-1451.6
2026-09-0952
2026-09-0651
2026-09-0551
2026-09-0351
2026-09-0251
2026-09-0151
2026-08-2851
2026-08-2751
2026-08-2542.6
2026-08-2342.6
2026-08-2243
2026-08-2043
2026-08-1943
2026-08-1843
2026-08-1743
2026-08-1641

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 53
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 38
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
425261
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +10.8

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 38
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence53
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection51.3
Projected range27–76
Arrival probability2%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.