Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Richard Guasch

BAL · AA · P · Age 29

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score25.4#5,319 Overall
Baseline27Most likely outcome
Performance42Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline27Most likely outcome
Ceiling40High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. Further development toward the ceiling would materially strengthen the profile.

Performance

Selected evidence
42Developing performance profile
Miss ability12.7 K/9Strong strikeout signal
Command5.5 BB/9Command risk
Contact management1.8 HR/9Home-run contact is a concern

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping51How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskSolid41Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection46.8
Projected Range22–72
Arrival Probability3%
Productive Role Probability1%
Player Background
OrganizationBaltimore Orioles
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 18 Latest recorded 27 Change +8.7
32 23 14 2026-09-02 · Median 18.3 2026-09-03 · Median 18.3 2026-09-05 · Median 18.3 2026-09-06 · Median 18.3 2026-09-09 · Median 28 2026-09-14 · Median 27 2026-09-15 · Median 27 2026-09-16 · Median 27 2026-09-17 · Median 27 2026-09-18 · Median 27 2026-09-19 · Median 27 2026-09-21 · Median 27 2026-09-22 · Median 27 2026-09-24 · Median 27 2026-09-25 · Median 27 2026-09-29 · Median 27 2026-09-30 · Median 27 2026-10-03 · Median 27 2026-10-04 · Median 27 2026-10-05 · Median 27 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 27

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0527
2026-10-0427
2026-10-0327
2026-09-3027
2026-09-2927
2026-09-2527
2026-09-2427
2026-09-2227
2026-09-2127
2026-09-1927
2026-09-1827
2026-09-1727
2026-09-1627
2026-09-1527
2026-09-1427
2026-09-0928
2026-09-0618.3
2026-09-0518.3
2026-09-0318.3
2026-09-0218.3