Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Ricson Gonzalez

KC · AA · C · Age 21

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score65.6#358 Overall
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Performance59Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor56Lower-end outcome
Baseline63Most likely outcome
Ceiling70High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
59Solid current performance
Power.103 ISONear expected range
Contact15.2% KStrong contact signal
On-base foundation.406 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid59How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection37.8
Projected Range21–55
Arrival Probability19%
Productive Role Probability2%
Player Background
OrganizationKansas City Royals
LevelAA
PositionC
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 63
68 58.5 49 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 64 2026-09-14 · Median 63.5 2026-09-15 · Median 64 2026-09-16 · Median 64 2026-09-17 · Median 63 2026-09-18 · Median 63 2026-09-19 · Median 63 2026-09-21 · Median 63 2026-09-22 · Median 63 2026-09-24 · Median 63 2026-09-25 · Median 63 2026-09-29 · Median 63 2026-09-30 · Median 63 2026-10-03 · Median 63 2026-10-04 · Median 63 2026-10-05 · Median 63 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 63

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0563
2026-10-0463
2026-10-0363
2026-09-3063
2026-09-2963
2026-09-2563
2026-09-2463
2026-09-2263
2026-09-2163
2026-09-1963
2026-09-1863
2026-09-1763
2026-09-1664
2026-09-1564
2026-09-1463.5
2026-09-0964
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0353
2026-09-0253