Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Riley Unroe

CWS · AAA · 2B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#6,399
Score11.4
Baseline13
Signal-17.2
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline13
Ceiling27
Confidence55 Risk43 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Riley Unroe

CWS · AAA · 2B

Chicago White Sox · Age at assessment: 31.2 · Bats: S · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#6,399
Prospect Score11.4
Median13
Performance Signal-17.2
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
201327
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.2

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 10 Latest recorded 13
18 12 6 2026-07-21 · Median 10 2026-07-22 · Median 10 2026-07-23 · Median 11 2026-07-24 · Median 10 2026-08-20 · Median 12 2026-08-22 · Median 12 2026-08-23 · Median 11.9 2026-08-25 · Median 11.9 2026-08-27 · Median 12.7 2026-08-28 · Median 12.7 2026-09-01 · Median 11.3 2026-09-02 · Median 11.3 2026-09-03 · Median 11.4 2026-09-05 · Median 11.4 2026-09-06 · Median 11.4 2026-09-09 · Median 11.9 2026-09-14 · Median 12.7 2026-09-15 · Median 13.7 2026-09-16 · Median 14 2026-09-17 · Median 14 2026-09-18 · Median 14 2026-09-19 · Median 14 2026-09-21 · Median 14 2026-09-22 · Median 14 2026-09-24 · Median 14 2026-09-25 · Median 14 2026-09-29 · Median 13 2026-09-30 · Median 13 2026-10-03 · Median 13 2026-10-04 · Median 13 2026-07-21 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 13

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0413
2026-10-0313
2026-09-3013
2026-09-2913
2026-09-2514
2026-09-2414
2026-09-2214
2026-09-2114
2026-09-1914
2026-09-1814
2026-09-1714
2026-09-1614
2026-09-1513.7
2026-09-1412.7
2026-09-0911.9
2026-09-0611.4
2026-09-0511.4
2026-09-0311.4
2026-09-0211.3
2026-09-0111.3
2026-08-2812.7
2026-08-2712.7
2026-08-2511.9
2026-08-2311.9
2026-08-2212
2026-08-2012
2026-07-2410
2026-07-2311
2026-07-2210
2026-07-2110

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 55
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 43
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
201327
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.2

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 43
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence55
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection38.1
Projected range21–55
Arrival probability14%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.