Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

River Hamilton

DET · Single-A · P · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score35.0#3,857 Overall
Baseline43Most likely outcome
Performance44Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor28Lower-end outcome
Baseline43Most likely outcome
Ceiling54High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
44Developing performance profile
Balanced Performance Profile

No individual statistical signal is disproportionately driving the current Performance Score.

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale

Individual scouting grades are not currently available for this player.

Model Detail
ConfidenceDeveloping37How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskLimited84Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationDetroit Tigers
LevelSingle-A
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 44 Latest recorded 43
48 43.5 39 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 44 2026-09-05 · Median 44 2026-09-06 · Median 44 2026-09-09 · Median 44 2026-09-14 · Median 43.6 2026-09-15 · Median 44 2026-09-16 · Median 44 2026-09-17 · Median 43 2026-09-18 · Median 43 2026-09-19 · Median 43 2026-09-21 · Median 43 2026-09-22 · Median 43 2026-09-24 · Median 43 2026-09-25 · Median 43 2026-09-29 · Median 43 2026-09-30 · Median 43 2026-10-03 · Median 43 2026-10-04 · Median 43 2026-10-05 · Median 43 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 43

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0543
2026-10-0443
2026-10-0343
2026-09-3043
2026-09-2943
2026-09-2543
2026-09-2443
2026-09-2243
2026-09-2143
2026-09-1943
2026-09-1843
2026-09-1743
2026-09-1644
2026-09-1544
2026-09-1443.6
2026-09-0944
2026-09-0644
2026-09-0544
2026-09-0344
2026-09-0244