Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

RJ Schreck

TOR · AAA · LF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,459
Score51.8
Baseline48
Signal+19.3
Trend0.0
Floor44
Baseline48
Ceiling53
Confidence92 Risk19 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

RJ Schreck

TOR · AAA · LF

Toronto Blue Jays · Age at assessment: 26.2 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,459
Prospect Score51.8
Median48
Performance Signal+19.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
444853
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 48
58 48.5 39 2026-06-04 · Median 54 2026-06-05 · Median 53 2026-06-06 · Median 53 2026-06-07 · Median 53 2026-06-08 · Median 50 2026-06-09 · Median 50 2026-06-10 · Median 50 2026-06-11 · Median 49.9 2026-08-27 · Median 44 2026-08-28 · Median 44 2026-09-01 · Median 44 2026-09-02 · Median 44 2026-09-03 · Median 44 2026-09-05 · Median 44 2026-09-06 · Median 43 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 48.1 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 48 2026-09-25 · Median 48 2026-09-29 · Median 48 2026-09-30 · Median 48 2026-10-03 · Median 48 2026-10-04 · Median 48 2026-06-04 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 48

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0448
2026-10-0348
2026-09-3048
2026-09-2948
2026-09-2548
2026-09-2448
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1448.1
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0643
2026-09-0544
2026-09-0344
2026-09-0244
2026-09-0144
2026-08-2844
2026-08-2744
2026-06-1149.9
2026-06-1050
2026-06-0950
2026-06-0850
2026-06-0753
2026-06-0653
2026-06-0553
2026-06-0454

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 92
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 19
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
444853
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +19.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 19
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence92
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection49.4
Projected range32–67
Arrival probability48%
Productive role probability5%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.