Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Rob Evans

SD · Single-A · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#4,954
Score27.6
Baseline34
Signal-0.9
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline34
Ceiling45
Confidence32 Risk80 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Rob Evans

SD · Single-A · P

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 22.8 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#4,954
Prospect Score27.6
Median34
Performance Signal-0.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
203445
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 30 Latest recorded 34
39 28.5 18 2026-08-20 · Median 30 2026-08-22 · Median 30 2026-08-23 · Median 29.9 2026-08-25 · Median 29.9 2026-08-27 · Median 30 2026-08-28 · Median 30 2026-09-01 · Median 30 2026-09-02 · Median 30 2026-09-03 · Median 30 2026-09-05 · Median 22.8 2026-09-06 · Median 22.8 2026-09-09 · Median 35 2026-09-14 · Median 34.8 2026-09-15 · Median 35 2026-09-16 · Median 35 2026-09-17 · Median 35 2026-09-18 · Median 35 2026-09-19 · Median 34 2026-09-21 · Median 34 2026-09-22 · Median 34 2026-09-24 · Median 34 2026-09-25 · Median 34 2026-09-29 · Median 34 2026-09-30 · Median 34 2026-10-03 · Median 34 2026-10-04 · Median 34 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 34

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0434
2026-10-0334
2026-09-3034
2026-09-2934
2026-09-2534
2026-09-2434
2026-09-2234
2026-09-2134
2026-09-1934
2026-09-1835
2026-09-1735
2026-09-1635
2026-09-1535
2026-09-1434.8
2026-09-0935
2026-09-0622.8
2026-09-0522.8
2026-09-0330
2026-09-0230
2026-09-0130
2026-08-2830
2026-08-2730
2026-08-2529.9
2026-08-2329.9
2026-08-2230
2026-08-2030

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 32
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 80
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
203445
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -0.9

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 80
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence32
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.