Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Robert Cranz

WSH · AA · P

Washington Nationals · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#631
Prospect Score60.7
Median58
Performance Signal+5.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
515864
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +5.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 58 Latest recorded 58
62 52 42 2026-08-14 · Median 58 2026-08-16 · Median 58 2026-08-17 · Median 58 2026-08-18 · Median 58 2026-08-19 · Median 58 2026-08-20 · Median 47 2026-08-22 · Median 47 2026-08-23 · Median 46.6 2026-08-25 · Median 46.6 2026-08-27 · Median 47 2026-08-28 · Median 46 2026-09-01 · Median 46 2026-09-02 · Median 46 2026-09-03 · Median 46 2026-09-05 · Median 46 2026-09-06 · Median 46 2026-09-09 · Median 57 2026-09-14 · Median 57.6 2026-09-15 · Median 58 2026-09-16 · Median 58 2026-09-17 · Median 58 2026-09-18 · Median 58 2026-09-19 · Median 58 2026-09-21 · Median 58 2026-09-22 · Median 58 2026-09-24 · Median 58 2026-09-25 · Median 58 2026-09-29 · Median 58 2026-09-30 · Median 58 2026-10-03 · Median 58 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 58

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0358
2026-09-3058
2026-09-2958
2026-09-2558
2026-09-2458
2026-09-2258
2026-09-2158
2026-09-1958
2026-09-1858
2026-09-1758
2026-09-1658
2026-09-1558
2026-09-1457.6
2026-09-0957
2026-09-0646
2026-09-0546
2026-09-0346
2026-09-0246
2026-09-0146
2026-08-2846
2026-08-2747
2026-08-2546.6
2026-08-2346.6
2026-08-2247
2026-08-2047
2026-08-1958
2026-08-1858
2026-08-1758
2026-08-1658
2026-08-1458

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 10
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
515864
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +5.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 10
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence62
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection48.8
Projected range24–74
Arrival probability34%
Productive role probability9%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.