Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 12, 2026
Prospect Baseline Profile

Roldy Brito

COL · High-A · 3B

Prospect Baseline Rank #70

Player Assessment

Current model read

Age-to-level context is a major part of why Roldy Brito stands out at High-A. The age-to-level relationship adds development value to the current performance.

Prospect Score & Development

63/100

Solid composite evaluation

Baseline

70/100

Central modeled outcome; separate from Prospect Score.

Confidence

91/100

High confidence

Evidence strength, separate from model risk.

Performance context

Model-derived assessment
56/100

Solid current production

OPS
Offensive impact.816 OPSBalanced offensive output
K%
Contact19.5% KNear expected range
OBP
On-base foundation.361 OBPStrong on-base foundation

Scouting Profile

20–80 scouting scale
Overall
55
Hit
55
Power
40
Run
60
Field
50
Arm
50

Grades updated 2026-09-29

Supporting Evidence and What to Watch

Current model assessment

Supporting Evidence

The current Baseline is 70; the model's plausible outcome window runs from 56 on the low end to 73 on the high end. That broader band is a reminder that the Baseline is strong without being fully settled. The supporting evidence is comparatively mature, so future movement should require a more meaningful change in performance or scouting information.

What to Watch

A promotion or sustained success against older competition is the next meaningful checkpoint. At High-A, age-to-level context is already helping the projection. Maintaining the same indicators against stronger competition would strengthen the Baseline more than simply repeating the current line in place.

Model factors and risk context
Model Risk Index3
Age to level69
Track record59
Data quality100

Risk, age-to-level, track record and data quality are separate model fields. A missing value is not zero.

Projected Outcome Range

Floor 56Baseline 70Ceiling 73

These are modeled outcome bands on the Prospect Baseline 0–100 scale, not guaranteed MLB outcomes.

Forecast

Statistical projections

No statistical forecast is published for this player. The current profile data does not include a documented rate forecast method, target population, or validation results.

Development Trajectory

Recorded Baseline assessments

Latest recorded Baseline: 70 on · Current Floor 56, Baseline 70, Ceiling 73

Recorded history Current Floor–Ceiling range

The chart connects recorded points only within the same model version and starts a new segment across gaps longer than 120 days. Routine point markers are suppressed; changes of 8 or more Baseline points are marked. The vertical whisker shows the current range and Baseline.

View recorded values
DateBaselineModel version
2026-10-1270pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0970pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0870pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0770pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
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2026-10-0470pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-10-0370pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-3070pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
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2026-09-2569pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
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2026-09-0969pbm_affbdd7c43a60c55
2026-09-0668pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-08-2568pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
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2026-07-0569pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-07-0369pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-06-3070pbm_6169a2220134229c
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2026-06-1770pbm_6169a2220134229c
2026-06-1670pbm_145fdb152195dbe4
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2026-06-0470pbm_145fdb152195dbe4

Development Outlook

Upside and risk

↑ Upside

The current Ceiling of 73 is 3 points above the Baseline. This is an outcome range, not a timed forecast.

⚑ Risk Factors

Model Risk Index: 3/100. This is a model measure, not a statement of real-world risk. Model confidence is 91/100 and is measured separately. Data quality and developmental uncertainty are also distinct.

Projection updated October 12, 2026 · Methodology

Projected Outcome Range Guide

How the Prospect Baseline outcome scale maps to player outcome tiers. The separate scouting bars use the traditional 20–80 scale.

Fringe<40
Developing40–59
Solid60–69
Above average70–79
Impact80–89
Generational90–100

Floor, Baseline, and Ceiling describe the current range of modeled outcomes. They are not guaranteed results or dates.