Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Ronny Cruz

WSH · High-A · SS · Age 20

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score67.0#292 Overall
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Performance50Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor57Lower-end outcome
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Ceiling68High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
50Developing performance profile
Power.163 ISONear expected range
Contact23.1% KNear expected range
Approach9.9% BBNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall55
Hit45
Power55
Run55
Field55
Arm60

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh92How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection41.1
Projected Range26–57
Arrival Probability64%
Productive Role Probability8%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelHigh-A
PositionSS
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 62 Latest recorded 62
67 62.5 58 2026-09-02 · Median 62 2026-09-03 · Median 62 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 63 2026-09-14 · Median 62.3 2026-09-15 · Median 62 2026-09-16 · Median 62 2026-09-17 · Median 62 2026-09-18 · Median 62 2026-09-19 · Median 62 2026-09-21 · Median 62 2026-09-22 · Median 62 2026-09-24 · Median 62 2026-09-25 · Median 62 2026-09-29 · Median 62 2026-09-30 · Median 62 2026-10-03 · Median 62 2026-10-04 · Median 62 2026-10-05 · Median 62 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0562
2026-10-0462
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2026-09-0562
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