Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Rory Fox

NYY · AA · P · Age 23

Bats L · Throws R
Prospect Score69.7#207 Overall
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Performance61Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor61Lower-end outcome
Baseline64Most likely outcome
Ceiling69High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.

Performance

Selected evidence
61Solid current performance
Miss ability9.1 K/9Near expected range
Command2.4 BB/9Above-average command
Traffic prevention1.26 WHIPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball50
Slider55
Curveball45
Changeup45
Control50

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh92How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection51.7
Projected Range29–74
Arrival Probability48%
Productive Role Probability7%
Player Background
OrganizationNew York Yankees
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsL
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 61 Latest recorded 64
69 63 57 2026-09-02 · Median 61 2026-09-03 · Median 61 2026-09-05 · Median 61 2026-09-06 · Median 61 2026-09-09 · Median 64 2026-09-14 · Median 64.9 2026-09-15 · Median 65 2026-09-16 · Median 65 2026-09-17 · Median 65 2026-09-18 · Median 65 2026-09-19 · Median 65 2026-09-21 · Median 65 2026-09-22 · Median 65 2026-09-24 · Median 65 2026-09-25 · Median 65 2026-09-29 · Median 64 2026-09-30 · Median 64 2026-10-03 · Median 64 2026-10-04 · Median 64 2026-10-05 · Median 64 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 64

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0564
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2026-09-1464.9
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2026-09-0561
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2026-09-0261