Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Ryan Forcucci

HOU · FCL · P · Age 24

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score21.4#5,832 Overall
Baseline26Most likely outcome
Performance24Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor20Lower-end outcome
Baseline26Most likely outcome
Ceiling37High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of meaningful developmental upside. The primary separator is whether the current progress can hold while projection risk remains elevated.

Performance

Selected evidence
24Developing performance profile
Miss ability5.8 K/9Limited miss signal
Command21.2 BB/9Command risk
Traffic prevention3.47 WHIPElevated traffic

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball60
Slider55
Curveball45
Changeup50
Control40

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-18

Model Detail
ConfidenceSolid63How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskDeveloping64Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusInsufficient current-season sample
Player Background
OrganizationHouston Astros
LevelFCL
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 28 Latest recorded 26
32 27 22 2026-09-02 · Median 28 2026-09-03 · Median 28 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 28 2026-09-14 · Median 27.7 2026-09-15 · Median 28 2026-09-16 · Median 28 2026-09-17 · Median 28 2026-09-18 · Median 26 2026-09-19 · Median 26 2026-09-21 · Median 26 2026-09-22 · Median 26 2026-09-24 · Median 26 2026-09-25 · Median 26 2026-09-29 · Median 26 2026-09-30 · Median 26 2026-10-03 · Median 26 2026-10-04 · Median 26 2026-10-05 · Median 26 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 26

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0526
2026-10-0426
2026-10-0326
2026-09-3026
2026-09-2926
2026-09-2526
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2026-09-2126
2026-09-1926
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2026-09-1728
2026-09-1628
2026-09-1528
2026-09-1427.7
2026-09-0928
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328
2026-09-0228