Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Ryan Forcucci

HOU · FCL · P

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 23.8 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Tools Ahead of Results
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Stuff not yet translating

The verified pitch-quality expectation is running ahead of current bat-missing results

Medium Confidence · 61%
PB Rank#5,871
Prospect Score21
Median26
Performance24
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Best pitch grade 60; dominance evidence sits near the 4th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • K/9 is 5.8

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff-62.5 percentile gap
Expected 67 Observed 4
Command-31.1 percentile gap
Expected 33 Observed 2

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 29 Latest recorded 26
38 30 22 2026-07-23 · Median 29 2026-07-24 · Median 29 2026-07-25 · Median 28 2026-07-26 · Median 28 2026-07-27 · Median 28 2026-07-28 · Median 28 2026-07-29 · Median 28 2026-07-30 · Median 28 2026-07-31 · Median 28 2026-08-01 · Median 28 2026-08-03 · Median 28 2026-08-05 · Median 29 2026-08-07 · Median 29 2026-08-08 · Median 29 2026-08-09 · Median 34 2026-08-10 · Median 34 2026-08-11 · Median 34 2026-08-13 · Median 34 2026-08-14 · Median 34 2026-08-16 · Median 34 2026-08-17 · Median 34 2026-08-18 · Median 34 2026-08-19 · Median 34 2026-08-20 · Median 28 2026-08-22 · Median 28 2026-08-23 · Median 27.6 2026-08-25 · Median 27.6 2026-08-27 · Median 28 2026-08-28 · Median 28 2026-09-01 · Median 28 2026-09-02 · Median 28 2026-09-03 · Median 28 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 28 2026-09-14 · Median 27.7 2026-09-15 · Median 28 2026-09-16 · Median 28 2026-09-17 · Median 28 2026-09-18 · Median 26 2026-09-19 · Median 26 2026-09-21 · Median 26 2026-09-22 · Median 26 2026-09-24 · Median 26 2026-09-25 · Median 26 2026-07-23 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 26

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2526
2026-09-2426
2026-09-2226
2026-09-2126
2026-09-1926
2026-09-1826
2026-09-1728
2026-09-1628
2026-09-1528
2026-09-1427.7
2026-09-0928
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328
2026-09-0228
2026-09-0128
2026-08-2828
2026-08-2728
2026-08-2527.6
2026-08-2327.6
2026-08-2228
2026-08-2028
2026-08-1934
2026-08-1834
2026-08-1734
2026-08-1634
2026-08-1434
2026-08-1334
2026-08-1134
2026-08-1034
2026-08-0934
2026-08-0829
2026-08-0729
2026-08-0529
2026-08-0328
2026-08-0128
2026-07-3128
2026-07-3028
2026-07-2928
2026-07-2828
2026-07-2728
2026-07-2628
2026-07-2528
2026-07-2429
2026-07-2329

Metrics to follow

K/9 5.8

Primary bat-missing indicator

Definition

Strikeouts recorded per nine innings pitched

K-BB% 25.4%

Separates dominance from walk cost

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

BB/9 21.2

Shows whether control is limiting the arsenal

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

Next checkpointRecheck K/9, K-BB%, and BB/9 after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G13
IP17.0
ERA19.06
WHIP3.47
K/95.8
BB/921.2
K-BB%-25.4%

Fayetteville Woodpeckers · Single-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
202637
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 24

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 64
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence63
TypePitcher

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball60Above Avg
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball45Fringe
Changeup icon
Changeup50Avg
Command icon
Control40Developmental
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Pitch Mix

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Fayetteville WoodpeckersSingle-A0419.061310017.0193936140113.475.82

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More Houston Astros profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.