Player profile
Ryan Garcia
Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 28.7 · Bats: R · Throws: R
Projection updated: October 4, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.
PB Rank#5,774
Prospect Score22.2
Median24
Performance Signal-22.8
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
202436
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -22.8
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 23
Latest recorded 24
2026-10-04 · Median 24
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 24 |
| 2026-10-03 | 24 |
| 2026-09-30 | 24 |
| 2026-09-29 | 24 |
| 2026-09-25 | 24 |
| 2026-09-24 | 24 |
| 2026-09-22 | 24 |
| 2026-09-21 | 24 |
| 2026-09-19 | 24 |
| 2026-09-18 | 24 |
| 2026-09-17 | 24 |
| 2026-09-16 | 24 |
| 2026-09-15 | 24 |
| 2026-09-14 | 24.1 |
| 2026-09-09 | 21.9 |
| 2026-09-06 | 23 |
| 2026-09-05 | 23 |
| 2026-09-03 | 23 |
| 2026-09-02 | 23 |
| 2026-09-01 | 23 |
| 2026-08-28 | 21.6 |
| 2026-08-27 | 21.6 |
| 2026-08-25 | 23.4 |
| 2026-08-23 | 23.4 |
| 2026-08-22 | 23 |
| 2026-08-20 | 23 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
56
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
28
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.