Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Ryan Gerety

SD · High-A · LF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#1,806
Score49.0
Baseline50
Signal+4.5
Trend+0.2
Floor39
Baseline50
Ceiling60
Confidence39 Risk35 Model WatchDeveloping model read
Player profile

Ryan Gerety

SD · High-A · LF

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 22.3 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#1,806
Prospect Score49.0
Median50
Performance Signal+4.5
Trend+0.2

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.2
395060
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.5

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 32 Latest recorded 50
54 36.5 19 2026-08-20 · Median 32 2026-08-22 · Median 32 2026-08-23 · Median 31.7 2026-08-25 · Median 31.7 2026-08-27 · Median 32 2026-08-28 · Median 23.2 2026-09-01 · Median 32 2026-09-02 · Median 32 2026-09-03 · Median 29 2026-09-05 · Median 29 2026-09-06 · Median 29 2026-09-09 · Median 50 2026-09-14 · Median 50 2026-09-15 · Median 50 2026-09-16 · Median 50 2026-09-17 · Median 50 2026-09-18 · Median 50 2026-09-19 · Median 50 2026-09-21 · Median 50 2026-09-22 · Median 50 2026-09-24 · Median 50 2026-09-25 · Median 50 2026-09-29 · Median 50 2026-09-30 · Median 50 2026-10-03 · Median 50 2026-10-04 · Median 50 2026-08-20 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 50

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0450
2026-10-0350
2026-09-3050
2026-09-2950
2026-09-2550
2026-09-2450
2026-09-2250
2026-09-2150
2026-09-1950
2026-09-1850
2026-09-1750
2026-09-1650
2026-09-1550
2026-09-1450
2026-09-0950
2026-09-0629
2026-09-0529
2026-09-0329
2026-09-0232
2026-09-0132
2026-08-2823.2
2026-08-2732
2026-08-2531.7
2026-08-2331.7
2026-08-2232
2026-08-2032

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 39
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 35
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.2
395060
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +4.5

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 35
Model WatchDeveloping model read
Confidence39
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.