Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Ryan Mathiesen

HOU · Single-A · P

Houston Astros · Age at assessment: 23.3 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Performance Signal Only
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Scouting comparison unavailable

Current performance can be evaluated, but a tool-to-results comparison requires verified scouting grades

Insufficient Evidence · 0%
PB Rank#3,828
Prospect Score36
Median35
Performance35
Trend+4.4%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range+4.4%
263544
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 35

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 35
39 32.5 26 2026-06-04 · Median 33 2026-06-05 · Median 33 2026-06-06 · Median 33 2026-06-07 · Median 33 2026-06-08 · Median 33 2026-06-09 · Median 33 2026-06-10 · Median 33 2026-06-11 · Median 33 2026-06-12 · Median 33 2026-06-13 · Median 33 2026-06-14 · Median 33 2026-06-15 · Median 33 2026-06-16 · Median 33 2026-06-17 · Median 33 2026-06-18 · Median 33 2026-06-19 · Median 33 2026-06-20 · Median 33 2026-06-21 · Median 33 2026-06-22 · Median 33 2026-06-23 · Median 33 2026-06-24 · Median 33 2026-06-25 · Median 33 2026-06-26 · Median 33 2026-06-28 · Median 33 2026-06-29 · Median 33 2026-06-30 · Median 33 2026-07-01 · Median 33 2026-07-03 · Median 33 2026-07-05 · Median 33 2026-07-07 · Median 33 2026-07-09 · Median 33 2026-07-11 · Median 33 2026-07-12 · Median 33 2026-07-14 · Median 33 2026-07-16 · Median 33 2026-07-21 · Median 33 2026-07-22 · Median 33 2026-07-23 · Median 33 2026-07-24 · Median 31 2026-07-25 · Median 31 2026-07-26 · Median 31 2026-07-27 · Median 31 2026-07-28 · Median 31 2026-07-29 · Median 31 2026-07-30 · Median 31 2026-07-31 · Median 31 2026-08-01 · Median 31 2026-08-03 · Median 31 2026-08-05 · Median 31 2026-08-07 · Median 31 2026-08-08 · Median 31 2026-08-09 · Median 31 2026-08-10 · Median 31 2026-08-11 · Median 31 2026-08-13 · Median 31 2026-08-14 · Median 31 2026-08-16 · Median 31 2026-08-17 · Median 31 2026-08-18 · Median 31 2026-08-19 · Median 31 2026-08-20 · Median 31 2026-08-27 · Median 30 2026-08-28 · Median 30 2026-09-01 · Median 30 2026-09-02 · Median 30 2026-09-03 · Median 30 2026-09-05 · Median 30 2026-09-06 · Median 30 2026-09-09 · Median 34 2026-09-14 · Median 33.9 2026-09-15 · Median 34 2026-09-16 · Median 34 2026-09-17 · Median 34 2026-09-18 · Median 34 2026-09-19 · Median 34 2026-09-21 · Median 34 2026-09-22 · Median 34 2026-09-24 · Median 35 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 35

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2435
2026-09-2234
2026-09-2134
2026-09-1934
2026-09-1834
2026-09-1734
2026-09-1634
2026-09-1534
2026-09-1433.9
2026-09-0934
2026-09-0630
2026-09-0530
2026-09-0330
2026-09-0230
2026-09-0130
2026-08-2830
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2026-08-2031
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2026-08-1131
2026-08-1031
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2026-08-0331
2026-08-0131
2026-07-3131
2026-07-3031
2026-07-2931
2026-07-2831
2026-07-2731
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2026-07-2133
2026-07-1633
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2026-07-1133
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2026-07-0733
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2026-07-0333
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2026-06-3033
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2026-06-1433
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2026-06-1033
2026-06-0933
2026-06-0833
2026-06-0733
2026-06-0633
2026-06-0533
2026-06-0433

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G22
IP30.2
ERA3.52
WHIP1.43
K/97.0
BB/97.0
K-BB%0.0%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range+4.4%
263544
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 35

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 26
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence50
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production37.8
Historical 80% error band13–63
MLB arrival in 3 years1%
Productive MLB role in 3 years0%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Fayetteville WoodpeckersSingle-A803.00180024.01598019211.427.88
2026FCL AstrosFCL015.404306.25440531.504.05
20262 teams · TotalAll levels813.52223030.2201312024241.437.04
2024Fayetteville WoodpeckersSingle-A000.001001.00000101.000.00

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More Houston Astros profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.