Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Ryan Mitchell

STL · Single-A · OF

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 19.7 · Bats: L · Throws: R

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Contact tool translating

Current contact results are broadly aligned with the verified hit-tool expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#753
Prospect Score59
Median56
Performance48
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Hit 50; contact evidence sits near the 40th percentile for comparable players
  • K% is 33.1%

What could change the read

  • A 20.2% walk rate provides meaningful approach support
  • A 0.389 OBP is keeping the offensive foundation intact

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact-9.9 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 40
Game Power-3.2 percentile gap
Expected 50 Observed 47

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 52 Latest recorded 56
61 54.5 48 2026-06-04 · Median 52 2026-06-05 · Median 52 2026-06-06 · Median 52 2026-06-07 · Median 52 2026-06-08 · Median 52 2026-06-09 · Median 52 2026-06-10 · Median 52 2026-06-11 · Median 53 2026-06-12 · Median 53 2026-06-13 · Median 53 2026-06-14 · Median 52 2026-06-15 · Median 52 2026-06-16 · Median 52 2026-06-17 · Median 52 2026-06-18 · Median 52 2026-06-19 · Median 53 2026-06-20 · Median 53 2026-06-21 · Median 53 2026-06-22 · Median 54 2026-06-23 · Median 54 2026-06-24 · Median 54 2026-06-25 · Median 55 2026-06-26 · Median 55 2026-06-28 · Median 54 2026-06-29 · Median 54 2026-06-30 · Median 54 2026-07-01 · Median 54 2026-07-03 · Median 56 2026-07-05 · Median 55 2026-07-07 · Median 54 2026-07-09 · Median 54 2026-07-11 · Median 54 2026-07-12 · Median 54 2026-07-14 · Median 54 2026-07-16 · Median 54 2026-07-21 · Median 55 2026-07-22 · Median 55 2026-07-23 · Median 55 2026-07-24 · Median 55 2026-07-25 · Median 55 2026-07-26 · Median 55 2026-07-27 · Median 55 2026-07-28 · Median 55 2026-07-29 · Median 55 2026-07-30 · Median 56 2026-07-31 · Median 56 2026-08-01 · Median 55 2026-08-03 · Median 55 2026-08-05 · Median 55 2026-08-07 · Median 55 2026-08-08 · Median 54 2026-08-09 · Median 54 2026-08-10 · Median 54 2026-08-11 · Median 54 2026-08-13 · Median 54 2026-08-14 · Median 55 2026-08-16 · Median 54 2026-08-17 · Median 54 2026-08-18 · Median 55 2026-08-19 · Median 54 2026-08-20 · Median 54 2026-08-22 · Median 54 2026-08-23 · Median 54.9 2026-08-25 · Median 54.9 2026-08-27 · Median 56 2026-08-28 · Median 56 2026-09-01 · Median 56 2026-09-02 · Median 56 2026-09-03 · Median 56 2026-09-05 · Median 56 2026-09-06 · Median 56 2026-09-09 · Median 56 2026-09-14 · Median 56.1 2026-09-15 · Median 56 2026-09-16 · Median 56 2026-09-17 · Median 56 2026-09-18 · Median 56 2026-09-19 · Median 56 2026-09-21 · Median 56 2026-09-22 · Median 56 2026-09-24 · Median 56 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2456
2026-09-2256
2026-09-2156
2026-09-1956
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2026-06-0652
2026-06-0552
2026-06-0452

Metrics to follow

K% 33.1%

Primary contact-pressure indicator

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

BB% 20.2%

Shows whether patience offsets swing-and-miss

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a walk

OBP 0.389

Tracks the overall on-base foundation

Definition

On-base percentage, measuring how often a hitter reaches base

Next checkpointRecheck K%, BB%, and OBP after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G107
PA496
AVG.231
OBP.389
SLG.365
OPS.754
HR13
SB41
BB%20.2%
K%33.1%

Palm Beach Cardinals · Single-A · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
515661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 48

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 19
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence90
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production39.7
Historical 80% error band24–55
MLB arrival in 3 years18%
Productive MLB role in 3 years2%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit50Avg
Power icon
Power50Avg
Speed icon
Speed55Avg
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm50Avg
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Balanced Position Player

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels938305900037134.300.421.300.721
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Palm Beach CardinalsSingle-A107496386818992135110016441.231.389.365.754

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More St. Louis Cardinals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.