Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Ryan Nicholson

LAA · High-A · 1B

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#4,691
Score29.3
Baseline29
Signal-25.0
Trend+0.3
Floor21
Baseline29
Ceiling36
Confidence58 Risk19 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Ryan Nicholson

LAA · High-A · 1B

Los Angeles Angels · Age at assessment: 26.1 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#4,691
Prospect Score29.3
Median29
Performance Signal-25.0
Trend+0.3

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+0.3
212936
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -25.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 26 Latest recorded 29
33 27 21 2026-08-16 · Median 26 2026-08-17 · Median 26 2026-08-18 · Median 26 2026-08-19 · Median 26 2026-08-20 · Median 26 2026-08-22 · Median 26 2026-08-23 · Median 25.8 2026-08-25 · Median 25.8 2026-08-27 · Median 26 2026-08-28 · Median 26 2026-09-01 · Median 26 2026-09-02 · Median 26 2026-09-03 · Median 26 2026-09-05 · Median 26 2026-09-06 · Median 26 2026-09-09 · Median 29 2026-09-14 · Median 28.8 2026-09-15 · Median 29 2026-09-16 · Median 29 2026-09-17 · Median 29 2026-09-18 · Median 29 2026-09-19 · Median 29 2026-09-21 · Median 29 2026-09-22 · Median 29 2026-09-24 · Median 29 2026-09-25 · Median 29 2026-09-29 · Median 29 2026-09-30 · Median 29 2026-10-03 · Median 29 2026-10-04 · Median 29 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 29

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0429
2026-10-0329
2026-09-3029
2026-09-2929
2026-09-2529
2026-09-2429
2026-09-2229
2026-09-2129
2026-09-1929
2026-09-1829
2026-09-1729
2026-09-1629
2026-09-1529
2026-09-1428.8
2026-09-0929
2026-09-0626
2026-09-0526
2026-09-0326
2026-09-0226
2026-09-0126
2026-08-2826
2026-08-2726
2026-08-2525.8
2026-08-2325.8
2026-08-2226
2026-08-2026
2026-08-1926
2026-08-1826
2026-08-1726
2026-08-1626

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 58
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 19
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+0.3
212936
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -25.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 19
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence58
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection36.3
Projected range19–54
Arrival probability32%
Productive role probability3%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.