Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 25, 2026 · 2:59 PM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Ryan Och

SD · AA · P IL(60-Day)

San Diego Padres · Age at assessment: 28.2 · Bats: R · Throws: L

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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome

PB Rank#6,115
Prospect Score18
Median23
Performance45
Trend0.0%

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale

No tool-to-results comparison is available in this saved assessment. The recorded model range is shown below.

Model Range0.0%
202338
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 45

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 19 Latest recorded 23
28 16 4 2026-06-04 · Median 19 2026-06-05 · Median 19 2026-06-06 · Median 19 2026-06-07 · Median 19 2026-06-08 · Median 8.8 2026-06-09 · Median 8.8 2026-06-10 · Median 8.8 2026-06-11 · Median 18 2026-06-12 · Median 18 2026-06-13 · Median 18 2026-06-14 · Median 18 2026-06-15 · Median 18 2026-06-16 · Median 18 2026-06-17 · Median 18 2026-06-18 · Median 18 2026-06-19 · Median 18 2026-06-20 · Median 18 2026-06-21 · Median 18 2026-06-22 · Median 18 2026-06-23 · Median 18 2026-06-24 · Median 18 2026-06-25 · Median 19 2026-06-26 · Median 19 2026-06-28 · Median 19 2026-06-29 · Median 19 2026-06-30 · Median 19 2026-07-01 · Median 19 2026-07-03 · Median 24 2026-07-05 · Median 24 2026-07-07 · Median 24 2026-07-09 · Median 24 2026-07-11 · Median 23 2026-07-12 · Median 23 2026-07-14 · Median 23 2026-07-16 · Median 23 2026-07-21 · Median 23 2026-07-22 · Median 23 2026-07-23 · Median 23 2026-08-27 · Median 22.3 2026-08-28 · Median 22.3 2026-09-01 · Median 22.3 2026-09-02 · Median 22.3 2026-09-03 · Median 22.3 2026-09-05 · Median 22.3 2026-09-06 · Median 22.3 2026-09-09 · Median 23.5 2026-09-14 · Median 23.2 2026-09-15 · Median 23.2 2026-09-16 · Median 23 2026-09-17 · Median 23 2026-09-18 · Median 23 2026-09-19 · Median 23 2026-09-21 · Median 23 2026-09-22 · Median 23 2026-09-24 · Median 23 2026-09-25 · Median 23 2026-06-04 2026-09-25

2026-09-25 · Median 23

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2523
2026-09-2423
2026-09-2223
2026-09-2123
2026-09-1923
2026-09-1823
2026-09-1723
2026-09-1623
2026-09-1523.2
2026-09-1423.2
2026-09-0923.5
2026-09-0622.3
2026-09-0522.3
2026-09-0322.3
2026-09-0222.3
2026-09-0122.3
2026-08-2822.3
2026-08-2722.3
2026-07-2323
2026-07-2223
2026-07-2123
2026-07-1623
2026-07-1423
2026-07-1223
2026-07-1123
2026-07-0924
2026-07-0724
2026-07-0524
2026-07-0324
2026-07-0119
2026-06-3019
2026-06-2919
2026-06-2819
2026-06-2619
2026-06-2519
2026-06-2418
2026-06-2318
2026-06-2218
2026-06-2118
2026-06-2018
2026-06-1918
2026-06-1818
2026-06-1718
2026-06-1618
2026-06-1518
2026-06-1418
2026-06-1318
2026-06-1218
2026-06-1118
2026-06-108.8
2026-06-098.8
2026-06-088.8
2026-06-0719
2026-06-0619
2026-06-0519
2026-06-0419

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G16
IP22.0
ERA4.91
WHIP1.55
K/912.7
BB/96.1
K-BB%15.8%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
202338
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 45

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 75
MLB / Model Watch
Confidence44
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production46.5
Historical 80% error band22–71
MLB arrival in 3 years2%
Productive MLB role in 3 years1%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Tool grades unavailable from verified public scouting reports.

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026San Antonio MissionsAA0016.202001.23330203.000.00
2026Fort Wayne TinCapsHigh-A201.69100016.01063011251.3114.06
2026ACL PadresACL1112.464004.16661261.8512.46
20263 teams · TotalAll levels314.91160022.0191512115311.5512.68
2025San Antonio MissionsAA133.46450254.2432621229551.329.05
2024San Antonio MissionsAA222.76190329.124119011421.1912.89
2024Fort Wayne TinCapsHigh-A114.73180126.2291514115411.6513.84
20242 teams · TotalAll levels333.70370456.0532623126831.4113.34
2022Fort Wayne TinCapsHigh-A113.9590113.2476015261.3917.12
2022Lake Elsinore StormSingle-A003.5580312.245508220.9515.63
2022ACL PadresACL014.502202.03110122.009.00
20223 teams · TotalAll levels123.81192428.1111312024501.2415.88
2021Lake Elsinore StormSingle-A102.7070110.043316131.0011.70
2021ACL PadresACL013.003003.03110161.3318.00
20212 teams · TotalAll levels112.77100113.074417191.0813.15

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-22T00:11:19.

More San Diego Padres profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.