Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Saivel Zayas

TEX · DSL · OF

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#2,011
Score47.5
Baseline47
Signal+21.9
Trend0.0
Floor38
Baseline47
Ceiling58
Confidence54 Risk38 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Saivel Zayas

TEX · DSL · OF

Texas Rangers · Age at assessment: 18.9 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#2,011
Prospect Score47.5
Median47
Performance Signal+21.9
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
384758
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +21.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 50 Latest recorded 47
54 48.5 43 2026-08-16 · Median 50 2026-08-17 · Median 49 2026-08-18 · Median 49 2026-08-19 · Median 48 2026-08-20 · Median 48 2026-08-22 · Median 48 2026-08-23 · Median 48.4 2026-08-25 · Median 48.4 2026-08-27 · Median 48 2026-08-28 · Median 48 2026-09-01 · Median 48 2026-09-02 · Median 48 2026-09-03 · Median 48 2026-09-05 · Median 48 2026-09-06 · Median 48 2026-09-09 · Median 48 2026-09-14 · Median 47.7 2026-09-15 · Median 48 2026-09-16 · Median 48 2026-09-17 · Median 48 2026-09-18 · Median 48 2026-09-19 · Median 48 2026-09-21 · Median 48 2026-09-22 · Median 48 2026-09-24 · Median 47 2026-09-25 · Median 47 2026-09-29 · Median 47 2026-09-30 · Median 47 2026-10-03 · Median 47 2026-10-04 · Median 47 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 47

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0447
2026-10-0347
2026-09-3047
2026-09-2947
2026-09-2547
2026-09-2447
2026-09-2248
2026-09-2148
2026-09-1948
2026-09-1848
2026-09-1748
2026-09-1648
2026-09-1548
2026-09-1447.7
2026-09-0948
2026-09-0648
2026-09-0548
2026-09-0348
2026-09-0248
2026-09-0148
2026-08-2848
2026-08-2748
2026-08-2548.4
2026-08-2348.4
2026-08-2248
2026-08-2048
2026-08-1948
2026-08-1849
2026-08-1749
2026-08-1650

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 54
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 38
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
384758
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +21.9

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 38
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence54
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection37.3
Projected range19–56
Arrival probability9%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.