Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Salvador Casado

BAL · FCL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

Rank#5,742
Score22.6
Baseline29
Signal-5.9
Trend+4.6
Floor20
Baseline29
Ceiling39
Confidence41 Risk81 Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Player profile

Salvador Casado

BAL · FCL · P

Baltimore Orioles · Age at assessment: 20.6 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. This player can rank below a lower-median player when risk, confidence, current performance, or age-to-level context pull the composite down.

PB Rank#5,742
Prospect Score22.6
Median29
Performance Signal-5.9
Trend+4.6

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range+4.6
202939
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.9

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 33 Latest recorded 29
37 30.5 24 2026-06-18 · Median 33 2026-06-19 · Median 33 2026-06-20 · Median 33 2026-06-21 · Median 33 2026-06-22 · Median 33 2026-06-23 · Median 33 2026-06-24 · Median 33 2026-06-25 · Median 33 2026-08-27 · Median 28.6 2026-08-28 · Median 28.3 2026-09-01 · Median 28.3 2026-09-02 · Median 28.3 2026-09-03 · Median 28.3 2026-09-05 · Median 28 2026-09-06 · Median 28 2026-09-09 · Median 28.8 2026-09-14 · Median 28.8 2026-09-15 · Median 29 2026-09-16 · Median 29 2026-09-17 · Median 29 2026-09-18 · Median 29 2026-09-19 · Median 29 2026-09-21 · Median 29 2026-09-22 · Median 29 2026-09-24 · Median 29 2026-09-25 · Median 29 2026-09-29 · Median 29 2026-09-30 · Median 29 2026-10-03 · Median 29 2026-10-04 · Median 29 2026-06-18 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 29

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0429
2026-10-0329
2026-09-3029
2026-09-2929
2026-09-2529
2026-09-2429
2026-09-2229
2026-09-2129
2026-09-1929
2026-09-1829
2026-09-1729
2026-09-1629
2026-09-1529
2026-09-1428.8
2026-09-0928.8
2026-09-0628
2026-09-0528
2026-09-0328.3
2026-09-0228.3
2026-09-0128.3
2026-08-2828.3
2026-08-2728.6
2026-06-2533
2026-06-2433
2026-06-2333
2026-06-2233
2026-06-2133
2026-06-2033
2026-06-1933
2026-06-1833

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Improving
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 41
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 81
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range+4.6
202939
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.9

Profile Context

RiskHigh Risk · 81
Model WatchMonitor projection risk
Confidence41
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.