Player profile
Sam McWilliams
Boston Red Sox · Age at assessment: 31.1 · Bats: R · Throws: R
Projection updated: October 4, 2026
Assessment notes
Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.
PB Rank#6,364
Prospect Score12.5
Median16
Performance Signal-5.3
Trend0.0
Projection components
Prospect Baseline modelModel Range0.0
201634
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -5.3
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 12
Latest recorded 16
2026-10-04 · Median 16
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-04 | 16 |
| 2026-10-03 | 16 |
| 2026-09-30 | 16 |
| 2026-09-29 | 16 |
| 2026-09-25 | 16 |
| 2026-09-24 | 16 |
| 2026-09-22 | 17 |
| 2026-09-21 | 17 |
| 2026-09-19 | 17 |
| 2026-09-18 | 17 |
| 2026-09-17 | 17 |
| 2026-09-16 | 17 |
| 2026-09-15 | 16.6 |
| 2026-09-14 | 16.6 |
| 2026-09-09 | 14.7 |
| 2026-09-06 | 12.1 |
| 2026-09-05 | 12.1 |
| 2026-09-03 | 12.1 |
| 2026-09-02 | 11.5 |
| 2026-09-01 | 11.5 |
| 2026-08-28 | 11.5 |
| 2026-08-27 | 11.5 |
| 2026-08-25 | 11.8 |
| 2026-08-23 | 11.8 |
| 2026-08-22 | 12 |
| 2026-08-20 | 12 |
| 2026-08-19 | 11 |
| 2026-08-18 | 11 |
| 2026-08-17 | 11 |
| 2026-08-16 | 12 |
Metrics to follow
Projection trajectory
Stable
Definition
Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.
Model confidence
46
Definition
Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.
Projection risk
51
Definition
Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.