Player Profile
Sam Petersen
WSH · AAA · CF · Age 24
Bats R · Throws RProspect Score65.7#354 Overall
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Performance55Solid current performance
Trend0.0Stable
Projected Outcome
Prospect Baseline model rangeFloor57Lower-end outcome
Baseline61Most likely outcome
Ceiling65High-end outcome
Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way
Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. Continued progress would reinforce the current baseline and ceiling.
Performance
Selected evidence55Solid current performance
Offensive impact.791 OPSBalanced offensive output
Contact28.4% KContact risk
Approach12.9% BBStrong on-base approach
Scouting Profile
20–80 scaleSource: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-01
Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh93How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh6Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection43.1
Projected Range26–61
Arrival Probability82%
Productive Role Probability24%
Player Background
OrganizationWashington Nationals
LevelAAA
PositionCF
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History
Model history
Median movement
First recorded 56
Latest recorded 61
2026-10-05 · Median 61
View recorded values
| Date | Median |
|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | 61 |
| 2026-10-04 | 61 |
| 2026-10-03 | 61 |
| 2026-09-30 | 61 |
| 2026-09-29 | 61 |
| 2026-09-25 | 62 |
| 2026-09-24 | 62 |
| 2026-09-22 | 61 |
| 2026-09-21 | 61 |
| 2026-09-19 | 61 |
| 2026-09-18 | 62 |
| 2026-09-17 | 62 |
| 2026-09-16 | 62 |
| 2026-09-15 | 62 |
| 2026-09-14 | 62.2 |
| 2026-09-09 | 62 |
| 2026-09-06 | 56 |
| 2026-09-05 | 56 |
| 2026-09-03 | 56 |
| 2026-09-02 | 56 |