Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 3, 2026
Player profile

Samir Chires

SF · Single-A · P

San Francisco Giants · Age at assessment: 23.0 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 3, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#880
Prospect Score57.6
Median55
Performance Signal+25.7
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
485565
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +25.7

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 55
60 54 48 2026-08-14 · Median 53 2026-08-16 · Median 53 2026-08-17 · Median 53 2026-08-18 · Median 53 2026-08-19 · Median 53 2026-08-20 · Median 53 2026-08-22 · Median 53 2026-08-23 · Median 52.8 2026-08-25 · Median 52.8 2026-08-27 · Median 53 2026-08-28 · Median 53 2026-09-01 · Median 52 2026-09-02 · Median 52 2026-09-03 · Median 52 2026-09-05 · Median 52 2026-09-06 · Median 52 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 55.2 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 55 2026-09-30 · Median 55 2026-10-03 · Median 55 2026-08-14 2026-10-03

2026-10-03 · Median 55

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0355
2026-09-3055
2026-09-2955
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1455.2
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0652
2026-09-0552
2026-09-0352
2026-09-0252
2026-09-0152
2026-08-2853
2026-08-2753
2026-08-2552.8
2026-08-2352.8
2026-08-2253
2026-08-2053
2026-08-1953
2026-08-1853
2026-08-1753
2026-08-1653
2026-08-1453

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 56
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 12
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
485565
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +25.7

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence56
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection46.5
Projected range22–71
Arrival probability47%
Productive role probability9%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.