Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Samuel Strickland

ATL · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#4,367
Score31.6
Baseline32
Signal-17.0
Trend0.0
Floor24
Baseline32
Ceiling43
Confidence59 Risk34 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Samuel Strickland

ATL · AA · P

Atlanta Braves · Age at assessment: 27.5 · Bats: R · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#4,367
Prospect Score31.6
Median32
Performance Signal-17.0
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
243243
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.0

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 30 Latest recorded 32
36 31 26 2026-08-16 · Median 30 2026-08-17 · Median 30 2026-08-18 · Median 30 2026-08-19 · Median 30 2026-08-20 · Median 30 2026-08-22 · Median 30 2026-08-23 · Median 30.2 2026-08-25 · Median 30.2 2026-08-27 · Median 30 2026-08-28 · Median 30 2026-09-01 · Median 30 2026-09-02 · Median 30 2026-09-03 · Median 30 2026-09-05 · Median 30 2026-09-06 · Median 30 2026-09-09 · Median 32 2026-09-14 · Median 31.5 2026-09-15 · Median 32 2026-09-16 · Median 32 2026-09-17 · Median 32 2026-09-18 · Median 32 2026-09-19 · Median 32 2026-09-21 · Median 32 2026-09-22 · Median 32 2026-09-24 · Median 32 2026-09-25 · Median 32 2026-09-29 · Median 32 2026-09-30 · Median 32 2026-10-03 · Median 32 2026-10-04 · Median 32 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 32

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0432
2026-10-0332
2026-09-3032
2026-09-2932
2026-09-2532
2026-09-2432
2026-09-2232
2026-09-2132
2026-09-1932
2026-09-1832
2026-09-1732
2026-09-1632
2026-09-1532
2026-09-1431.5
2026-09-0932
2026-09-0630
2026-09-0530
2026-09-0330
2026-09-0230
2026-09-0130
2026-08-2830
2026-08-2730
2026-08-2530.2
2026-08-2330.2
2026-08-2230
2026-08-2030
2026-08-1930
2026-08-1830
2026-08-1730
2026-08-1630

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 59
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 34
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
243243
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.0

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 34
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence59
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection50.7
Projected range26–75
Arrival probability7%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.