Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Sandro Santana

STL · AAA · P

St. Louis Cardinals · Age at assessment: 21.5 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#7
Prospect Score88
Median83
Performance82
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 45; command evidence sits near the 71th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 4.4

What could change the read

  • A 14.2 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+14.8 percentile gap
Expected 83 Observed 98
Command+28.9 percentile gap
Expected 42 Observed 71

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 59 Latest recorded 83
87 71 55 2026-06-04 · Median 59 2026-06-05 · Median 60 2026-06-06 · Median 60 2026-06-07 · Median 59 2026-06-08 · Median 59 2026-06-09 · Median 59 2026-06-10 · Median 63 2026-06-11 · Median 63 2026-06-12 · Median 63 2026-06-13 · Median 63 2026-06-14 · Median 63 2026-06-15 · Median 63 2026-06-16 · Median 63 2026-06-17 · Median 64 2026-06-18 · Median 65 2026-06-19 · Median 65 2026-06-20 · Median 65 2026-06-21 · Median 65 2026-06-22 · Median 66 2026-06-23 · Median 66 2026-06-24 · Median 66 2026-06-25 · Median 66 2026-06-26 · Median 66 2026-06-28 · Median 66 2026-06-29 · Median 66 2026-06-30 · Median 66 2026-07-01 · Median 66 2026-07-03 · Median 65 2026-07-05 · Median 65 2026-07-07 · Median 65 2026-07-09 · Median 65 2026-07-11 · Median 65 2026-07-12 · Median 65 2026-07-14 · Median 65 2026-07-16 · Median 65 2026-07-21 · Median 66 2026-07-22 · Median 66 2026-07-23 · Median 66 2026-07-24 · Median 66 2026-07-25 · Median 66 2026-07-26 · Median 65 2026-07-27 · Median 65 2026-07-28 · Median 65 2026-07-29 · Median 65 2026-07-30 · Median 65 2026-07-31 · Median 65 2026-08-01 · Median 65 2026-08-03 · Median 65 2026-08-05 · Median 65 2026-08-07 · Median 66 2026-08-08 · Median 66 2026-08-09 · Median 66 2026-08-10 · Median 66 2026-08-11 · Median 66 2026-08-13 · Median 66 2026-08-14 · Median 66 2026-08-16 · Median 66 2026-08-17 · Median 66 2026-08-18 · Median 66 2026-08-19 · Median 66 2026-08-20 · Median 66 2026-08-22 · Median 66 2026-08-23 · Median 66.4 2026-08-25 · Median 66.4 2026-08-27 · Median 79 2026-08-28 · Median 80 2026-09-01 · Median 59 2026-09-02 · Median 59 2026-09-03 · Median 59 2026-09-05 · Median 62 2026-09-06 · Median 62 2026-09-09 · Median 83 2026-09-14 · Median 82.9 2026-09-15 · Median 83 2026-09-16 · Median 83 2026-09-17 · Median 83 2026-09-18 · Median 83 2026-09-19 · Median 83 2026-09-21 · Median 83 2026-09-22 · Median 83 2026-09-24 · Median 83 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 83

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2483
2026-09-2283
2026-09-2183
2026-09-1983
2026-09-1883
2026-09-1783
2026-09-1683
2026-09-1583
2026-09-1482.9
2026-09-0983
2026-09-0662
2026-09-0562
2026-09-0359
2026-09-0259
2026-09-0159
2026-08-2880
2026-08-2779
2026-08-2566.4
2026-08-2366.4
2026-08-2266
2026-08-2066
2026-08-1966
2026-08-1866
2026-08-1766
2026-08-1666
2026-08-1466
2026-08-1366
2026-08-1166
2026-08-1066
2026-08-0966
2026-08-0866
2026-08-0766
2026-08-0565
2026-08-0365
2026-08-0165
2026-07-3165
2026-07-3065
2026-07-2965
2026-07-2865
2026-07-2765
2026-07-2665
2026-07-2566
2026-07-2466
2026-07-2366
2026-07-2266
2026-07-2166
2026-07-1665
2026-07-1465
2026-07-1265
2026-07-1165
2026-07-0965
2026-07-0765
2026-07-0565
2026-07-0365
2026-07-0166
2026-06-3066
2026-06-2966
2026-06-2866
2026-06-2666
2026-06-2566
2026-06-2466
2026-06-2366
2026-06-2266
2026-06-2165
2026-06-2065
2026-06-1965
2026-06-1865
2026-06-1764
2026-06-1663
2026-06-1563
2026-06-1463
2026-06-1363
2026-06-1263
2026-06-1163
2026-06-1063
2026-06-0959
2026-06-0859
2026-06-0759
2026-06-0660
2026-06-0560
2026-06-0459

Metrics to follow

BB/9 4.4

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.00

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 27.5%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G46
IP64.0
ERA1.97
WHIP1.02
K/914.2
BB/94.4
K-BB%27.5%

4 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
798388
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 82

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model Watch85 signal Top 100 Watch
Confidence95
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production48.9
Historical 80% error band24–74
MLB arrival in 3 years80%
Productive MLB role in 3 years29%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball55Avg
Slider icon
Slider70Plus-Plus
Changeup icon
Changeup45Fringe
Command icon
Control45Fringe
Overall icon
Overall40Developmental

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Slider-Driven

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels000.001001.11000020.7513.50
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels001.8080010.012209151.0013.50
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Memphis RedbirdsAAA002.007009.012208131.0013.00
2026Amarillo Sod PoodlesAA200.57110115.261106210.7712.06
2026Springfield CardinalsAA001.048028.221113180.5818.69
2026Hillsboro HopsHigh-A322.93200330.2251110214491.2714.38
20264 teams · TotalAll levels521.97460664.03415143311011.0214.20
2025Visalia RawhideSingle-A243.38210348.0392518328471.408.81
2025ACL D-backsACL200.0050011.150003140.7111.12
20252 teams · TotalAll levels442.73260359.1442518331611.269.25
2024ACL D-backsACL207.1181119.0181615313191.639.00
2023DSL Arizona BlackDSL0112.001003.07540012.333.00
2023DSL Arizona RedDSL223.8693025.2181611017351.3612.27
20232 teams · TotalAll levels234.71103028.2252115017361.4711.30

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

More St. Louis Cardinals profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.