Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Sebastian Caseres

LAA · ACL · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

Rank#1,159
Score54.4
Baseline53
Signal+9.3
Trend0.0
Floor42
Baseline53
Ceiling69
Confidence41 Risk47 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Sebastian Caseres

LAA · ACL · P

Los Angeles Angels · Age at assessment: 18.6 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Lower confidence keeps the composite more conservative.

PB Rank#1,159
Prospect Score54.4
Median53
Performance Signal+9.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
425369
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 53 Latest recorded 53
58 53 48 2026-08-16 · Median 53 2026-08-17 · Median 53 2026-08-18 · Median 53 2026-08-19 · Median 53 2026-08-20 · Median 53 2026-08-22 · Median 53 2026-08-23 · Median 52.7 2026-08-25 · Median 52.7 2026-08-27 · Median 53 2026-08-28 · Median 53 2026-09-01 · Median 53 2026-09-02 · Median 53 2026-09-03 · Median 53 2026-09-05 · Median 53 2026-09-06 · Median 53 2026-09-09 · Median 54 2026-09-14 · Median 53.7 2026-09-15 · Median 54 2026-09-16 · Median 54 2026-09-17 · Median 54 2026-09-18 · Median 54 2026-09-19 · Median 54 2026-09-21 · Median 53 2026-09-22 · Median 53 2026-09-24 · Median 53 2026-09-25 · Median 53 2026-09-29 · Median 53 2026-09-30 · Median 53 2026-10-03 · Median 53 2026-10-04 · Median 53 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 53

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0453
2026-10-0353
2026-09-3053
2026-09-2953
2026-09-2553
2026-09-2453
2026-09-2253
2026-09-2153
2026-09-1954
2026-09-1854
2026-09-1754
2026-09-1654
2026-09-1554
2026-09-1453.7
2026-09-0954
2026-09-0653
2026-09-0553
2026-09-0353
2026-09-0253
2026-09-0153
2026-08-2853
2026-08-2753
2026-08-2552.7
2026-08-2352.7
2026-08-2253
2026-08-2053
2026-08-1953
2026-08-1853
2026-08-1753
2026-08-1653

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 41
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 47
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
425369
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal +9.3

Profile Context

RiskMedium Risk · 47
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence41
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusInsufficient current-season sample

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.