Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Sebastian Walcott

TEX · AAA · SS

Texas Rangers · Age at assessment: 20.5 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
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Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Game power ahead of the tool grade

Current extra-base impact is outperforming the verified power expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#1
Prospect Score91
Median90
Performance75
Trend-0.1%

Why the player is here

  • Power 65; game-power evidence sits near the 97th percentile for comparable players
  • ISO is 0.265

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Contact+19.4 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 78
Game Power+21.8 percentile gap
Expected 75 Observed 97

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 77 Latest recorded 90
95 82.5 70 2026-07-23 · Median 77 2026-07-24 · Median 75 2026-07-25 · Median 75 2026-07-26 · Median 75 2026-07-27 · Median 75 2026-07-28 · Median 75 2026-07-29 · Median 75 2026-07-30 · Median 75 2026-07-31 · Median 75 2026-08-01 · Median 75 2026-08-03 · Median 75 2026-08-05 · Median 75 2026-08-07 · Median 75 2026-08-08 · Median 75 2026-08-09 · Median 75 2026-08-10 · Median 75 2026-08-11 · Median 75 2026-08-13 · Median 75 2026-08-14 · Median 75 2026-08-16 · Median 75 2026-08-17 · Median 75 2026-08-18 · Median 75 2026-08-19 · Median 75 2026-08-20 · Median 75 2026-08-22 · Median 75 2026-08-23 · Median 74.5 2026-08-25 · Median 74.5 2026-08-27 · Median 74 2026-08-28 · Median 74 2026-09-01 · Median 74 2026-09-02 · Median 74 2026-09-03 · Median 74 2026-09-05 · Median 74 2026-09-06 · Median 74 2026-09-09 · Median 84 2026-09-14 · Median 83.2 2026-09-15 · Median 83 2026-09-16 · Median 83 2026-09-17 · Median 83 2026-09-18 · Median 83 2026-09-19 · Median 91 2026-09-21 · Median 90 2026-09-22 · Median 90 2026-09-24 · Median 90 2026-07-23 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 90

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2490
2026-09-2290
2026-09-2190
2026-09-1991
2026-09-1883
2026-09-1783
2026-09-1683
2026-09-1583
2026-09-1483.2
2026-09-0984
2026-09-0674
2026-09-0574
2026-09-0374
2026-09-0274
2026-09-0174
2026-08-2874
2026-08-2774
2026-08-2574.5
2026-08-2374.5
2026-08-2275
2026-08-2075
2026-08-1975
2026-08-1875
2026-08-1775
2026-08-1675
2026-08-1475
2026-08-1375
2026-08-1175
2026-08-1075
2026-08-0975
2026-08-0875
2026-08-0775
2026-08-0575
2026-08-0375
2026-08-0175
2026-07-3175
2026-07-3075
2026-07-2975
2026-07-2875
2026-07-2775
2026-07-2675
2026-07-2575
2026-07-2475
2026-07-2377

Metrics to follow

ISO 0.265

Separates extra-base impact from batting average

Definition

Isolated power, calculated as slugging percentage minus batting average

SLG 0.590

Tracks total bases per at-bat

Definition

Slugging percentage, weighting extra-base hits more heavily

K% 24.1%

Shows the swing-and-miss cost of accessing power

Definition

Percentage of plate appearances ending in a strikeout. Lower is generally better for hitters

Next checkpointRecheck ISO, SLG, and K% after the next 75 plate appearances

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G41
PA187
AVG.325
OBP.401
SLG.590
OPS.991
HR10
SB13
BB%10.2%
K%24.1%

3 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range-0.1%
859096
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 75

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 0
MLB / Model WatchMLB #9 MLB Top 100
Confidence96
TypePosition Player

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production42.3
Historical 80% error band25–59
MLB arrival in 3 years77%
Productive MLB role in 3 years20%

The next-season score assumes at least 100 PA. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Hit icon
Hit55Avg
Power icon
Power65Plus
Speed icon
Speed50Avg
Defense icon
Defense50Avg
Arm icon
Arm70Plus-Plus
Overall icon
Overall60Above Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileHitPowerSpeedDefenseArm20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Power Bat

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
Last 7 daysAll teamsAll levels298020000141.250.333.250.583
Last 30 daysAll teamsAll levels1677692026306106187.377.442.6811.123
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelGPAABRH2B3BHRRBIBBSOSBAVGOBPSLGOPS
2026Round Rock ExpressAAA298020000141.250.333.250.583
2026Frisco RoughRidersAA371711524449130920173911.322.398.586.983
2026ACL RangersACL276431011121.500.5711.1671.738
20263 teams · TotalAll levels4118716648541401021194513.325.401.590.991
2025Frisco RoughRidersAA1245524747112119213597010832.255.355.386.741
2024Frisco RoughRidersAA52423483017171.348.375.609.984
2024Hickory CrawdadsHigh-A1164914336011331910495212526.261.342.443.786
20242 teams · TotalAll levels1215154566412134911565313227.265.344.452.795
2023Hickory CrawdadsHigh-A41613221002350.154.313.231.543
2023ACL RangersACL3515714326399371910519.273.325.524.849
2023DSL Rangers BlueDSL942314531031083.161.381.323.704
20233 teams · TotalAll levels482151873246134724236412.246.335.471.805

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2023 Bowman Chrome · First Bowman
Explore the checklist tool

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Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.