Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Sep 24, 2026 · 8:41 AM ET

Included in the latest imported public model. All figures reflect the saved assessment dates.

Player profile

Seth Hernandez

PIT · High-A · P IL(60-Day)

Pittsburgh Pirates · Age at assessment: 20.2 · Bats: R · Throws: R

Results Ahead of Tools
Compare
Assessment saved: · Stats updated:

Command results ahead of the tool grade

Current strike throwing is outperforming the verified command expectation

High Confidence · 99%
PB Rank#27
Prospect Score81
Median80
Performance74
Trend0.0%

Why the player is here

  • Command 55; command evidence sits near the 81th percentile for comparable pitchers
  • BB/9 is 3.8

What could change the read

  • A 14.4 K/9 shows the stuff is still missing bats

Context for this assessment, not a verified explanation for movement between model runs.

Tool vs observed results

Percentile scale
Stuff+14.7 percentile gap
Expected 83 Observed 98
Command+22.4 percentile gap
Expected 58 Observed 81

Verified tool expectations alongside results for comparable players. Percentiles are not scouting grades.

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 85 Latest recorded 80
89 81.5 74 2026-06-04 · Median 85 2026-06-05 · Median 85 2026-06-06 · Median 85 2026-06-07 · Median 85 2026-06-08 · Median 85 2026-06-09 · Median 85 2026-06-10 · Median 85 2026-06-11 · Median 85 2026-06-12 · Median 85 2026-06-13 · Median 85 2026-06-14 · Median 85 2026-06-15 · Median 85 2026-06-16 · Median 85 2026-06-17 · Median 85 2026-06-18 · Median 85 2026-06-19 · Median 85 2026-06-20 · Median 85 2026-06-21 · Median 85 2026-06-22 · Median 85 2026-06-23 · Median 85 2026-06-24 · Median 85 2026-06-25 · Median 85 2026-06-26 · Median 85 2026-06-28 · Median 85 2026-06-29 · Median 85 2026-06-30 · Median 85 2026-07-01 · Median 85 2026-07-03 · Median 82 2026-07-05 · Median 82 2026-07-07 · Median 82 2026-07-09 · Median 82 2026-07-11 · Median 82 2026-07-12 · Median 82 2026-07-14 · Median 82 2026-07-16 · Median 82 2026-07-21 · Median 82 2026-07-22 · Median 82 2026-07-23 · Median 82 2026-07-24 · Median 82 2026-07-25 · Median 82 2026-07-26 · Median 82 2026-07-27 · Median 82 2026-07-28 · Median 82 2026-07-29 · Median 82 2026-07-30 · Median 82 2026-07-31 · Median 82 2026-08-01 · Median 82 2026-08-03 · Median 82 2026-08-05 · Median 82 2026-08-07 · Median 82 2026-08-08 · Median 82 2026-08-09 · Median 82 2026-08-10 · Median 82 2026-08-11 · Median 82 2026-08-13 · Median 82 2026-08-14 · Median 82 2026-08-16 · Median 82 2026-08-17 · Median 82 2026-08-18 · Median 82 2026-08-19 · Median 82 2026-08-20 · Median 82.1 2026-08-27 · Median 78 2026-08-28 · Median 78 2026-09-01 · Median 78 2026-09-02 · Median 78 2026-09-03 · Median 78 2026-09-05 · Median 78 2026-09-06 · Median 78 2026-09-09 · Median 80 2026-09-14 · Median 79.6 2026-09-15 · Median 80 2026-09-16 · Median 80 2026-09-17 · Median 80 2026-09-18 · Median 80 2026-09-19 · Median 80 2026-09-21 · Median 80 2026-09-22 · Median 80 2026-09-24 · Median 80 2026-06-04 2026-09-24

2026-09-24 · Median 80

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-09-2480
2026-09-2280
2026-09-2180
2026-09-1980
2026-09-1880
2026-09-1780
2026-09-1680
2026-09-1580
2026-09-1479.6
2026-09-0980
2026-09-0678
2026-09-0578
2026-09-0378
2026-09-0278
2026-09-0178
2026-08-2878
2026-08-2778
2026-08-2082.1
2026-08-1982
2026-08-1882
2026-08-1782
2026-08-1682
2026-08-1482
2026-08-1382
2026-08-1182
2026-08-1082
2026-08-0982
2026-08-0882
2026-08-0782
2026-08-0582
2026-08-0382
2026-08-0182
2026-07-3182
2026-07-3082
2026-07-2982
2026-07-2882
2026-07-2782
2026-07-2682
2026-07-2582
2026-07-2482
2026-07-2382
2026-07-2282
2026-07-2182
2026-07-1682
2026-07-1482
2026-07-1282
2026-07-1182
2026-07-0982
2026-07-0782
2026-07-0582
2026-07-0382
2026-07-0185
2026-06-3085
2026-06-2985
2026-06-2885
2026-06-2685
2026-06-2585
2026-06-2485
2026-06-2385
2026-06-2285
2026-06-2185
2026-06-2085
2026-06-1985
2026-06-1885
2026-06-1785
2026-06-1685
2026-06-1585
2026-06-1485
2026-06-1385
2026-06-1285
2026-06-1185
2026-06-1085
2026-06-0985
2026-06-0885
2026-06-0785
2026-06-0685
2026-06-0585
2026-06-0485

Metrics to follow

BB/9 3.8

Primary strike-throwing checkpoint

Definition

Walks allowed per nine innings pitched. Lower is generally better

WHIP 1.10

Tracks total traffic allowed

Definition

Walks and hits allowed per inning pitched. Lower is generally better

K-BB% 29.8%

Balances dominance against walks

Definition

Strikeout percentage minus walk percentage, a compact measure of pitcher dominance and control

Next checkpointRecheck BB/9, WHIP, and K-BB% after the next 20 innings

2026 season

Current season · regular season
G18
IP74.0
ERA2.43
WHIP1.05
K/914.4
BB/93.8
K-BB%29.8%

2 teams · Total · All levels · Updated

Scouting Scenario Range

Model Range0.0%
758085
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance 74

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 12
MLB / Model WatchMLB #7 MLB Top 100
Confidence91
TypePitcher

Backtested Forecasts

Separate from scouting grades
2027 MiLB production61.3
Historical 80% error band37–86
MLB arrival in 3 years59%
Productive MLB role in 3 years13%

The next-season score assumes at least 20 IP. A productive MLB role means a regular playing-time season with above-average measured hitting or pitching production. This is not a WAR forecast.

Scouting Tools

Source: Verified public scouting report
Fastball icon
Fastball70Plus-Plus
Slider icon
Slider55Avg
Curveball icon
Curveball60Above Avg
Changeup icon
Changeup60Above Avg
Command icon
Control55Avg
Overall icon
Overall60Above Avg

Tool Profile

Tool ProfileFastballSliderCurveballChangeupCommand20-80 grade scaleArchetype: Power Fastball

Player Stats

Recent regular season
PeriodTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
Last 7 daysNo recent game logs available
Last 30 daysNo recent game logs available
Year-by-year regular season
YearTeamLevelWLERAGGSSVIPHRERHRBBSOWHIPK/9
2026Greensboro GrasshoppersHigh-A313.331212046.0341817824681.2613.30
2026Bradenton MaraudersSingle-A300.9666028.0133327500.7116.07
20262 teams · TotalAll levels612.431818074.047212010311181.0514.35

Regular season only. Totals combine team and level stints. Recent windows overlap and use cached game logs. Stats refreshed: 2026-09-24T08:35:32.

Checklist appearances

  • 2025 Bowman Draft · First Bowman · First autograph
Explore the checklist tool

More Pittsburgh Pirates profiles

Organization reflects each player's saved assessment.