Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Shotaro Morii

ATH · Single-A · SS

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

Rank#706
Score59.8
Baseline56
Signal-10.3
Trend0.0
Floor50
Baseline56
Ceiling61
Confidence90 Risk3 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Shotaro Morii

ATH · Single-A · SS

Athletics · Age at assessment: 19.8 · Bats: L · Throws: R

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank.

PB Rank#706
Prospect Score59.8
Median56
Performance Signal-10.3
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
505661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.3

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 54 Latest recorded 56
60 55 50 2026-08-16 · Median 54 2026-08-17 · Median 54 2026-08-18 · Median 54 2026-08-19 · Median 54 2026-08-20 · Median 54 2026-08-22 · Median 54 2026-08-23 · Median 54.1 2026-08-25 · Median 54.1 2026-08-27 · Median 54 2026-08-28 · Median 54 2026-09-01 · Median 54 2026-09-02 · Median 54 2026-09-03 · Median 54 2026-09-05 · Median 54 2026-09-06 · Median 54 2026-09-09 · Median 55 2026-09-14 · Median 54.6 2026-09-15 · Median 55 2026-09-16 · Median 55 2026-09-17 · Median 55 2026-09-18 · Median 55 2026-09-19 · Median 55 2026-09-21 · Median 55 2026-09-22 · Median 55 2026-09-24 · Median 55 2026-09-25 · Median 55 2026-09-29 · Median 56 2026-09-30 · Median 56 2026-10-03 · Median 56 2026-10-04 · Median 56 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 56

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0456
2026-10-0356
2026-09-3056
2026-09-2956
2026-09-2555
2026-09-2455
2026-09-2255
2026-09-2155
2026-09-1955
2026-09-1855
2026-09-1755
2026-09-1655
2026-09-1555
2026-09-1454.6
2026-09-0955
2026-09-0654
2026-09-0554
2026-09-0354
2026-09-0254
2026-09-0154
2026-08-2854
2026-08-2754
2026-08-2554.1
2026-08-2354.1
2026-08-2254
2026-08-2054
2026-08-1954
2026-08-1854
2026-08-1754
2026-08-1654

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 90
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 3
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
505661
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -10.3

Profile Context

RiskLow Risk · 3
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence90
TypeHitter

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection34.7
Projected range16–53
Arrival probability4%
Productive role probability1%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.