Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 4, 2026
Player profile

Steffon Moore

CIN · AA · P

Projection updated October 4, 2026

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

Rank#6,322
Score13.5
Baseline19
Signal-17.4
Trend0.0
Floor20
Baseline19
Ceiling34
Confidence47 Risk62 Model WatchStable model read
Player profile

Steffon Moore

CIN · AA · P

Cincinnati Reds · Age at assessment: 29.3 · Bats: L · Throws: L

Projection updated: October 4, 2026

Assessment notes

Rank is ordered by Prospect Score, the model's 1-100 composite score. Median outcome is only one input; performance, track record, age-to-level context, high outcome, confidence, and risk also affect rank. Present performance is lifting the composite above the long-term median outcome.

PB Rank#6,322
Prospect Score13.5
Median19
Performance Signal-17.4
Trend0.0

Projection components

Prospect Baseline model
Model Range0.0
201934
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.4

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 19 Latest recorded 19
26 20.5 15 2026-08-16 · Median 19 2026-08-17 · Median 19 2026-08-18 · Median 19 2026-08-19 · Median 19 2026-08-20 · Median 19 2026-08-22 · Median 19 2026-08-23 · Median 20.7 2026-08-25 · Median 20.7 2026-08-27 · Median 21.8 2026-08-28 · Median 21.8 2026-09-01 · Median 21.8 2026-09-02 · Median 21.8 2026-09-03 · Median 19.7 2026-09-05 · Median 19.7 2026-09-06 · Median 19.7 2026-09-09 · Median 21.8 2026-09-14 · Median 19.8 2026-09-15 · Median 19.8 2026-09-16 · Median 20 2026-09-17 · Median 20 2026-09-18 · Median 20 2026-09-19 · Median 20 2026-09-21 · Median 20 2026-09-22 · Median 20 2026-09-24 · Median 20 2026-09-25 · Median 19 2026-09-29 · Median 19 2026-09-30 · Median 19 2026-10-03 · Median 19 2026-10-04 · Median 19 2026-08-16 2026-10-04

2026-10-04 · Median 19

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0419
2026-10-0319
2026-09-3019
2026-09-2919
2026-09-2519
2026-09-2420
2026-09-2220
2026-09-2120
2026-09-1920
2026-09-1820
2026-09-1720
2026-09-1620
2026-09-1519.8
2026-09-1419.8
2026-09-0921.8
2026-09-0619.7
2026-09-0519.7
2026-09-0319.7
2026-09-0221.8
2026-09-0121.8
2026-08-2821.8
2026-08-2721.8
2026-08-2520.7
2026-08-2320.7
2026-08-2219
2026-08-2019
2026-08-1919
2026-08-1819
2026-08-1719
2026-08-1619

Metrics to follow

Projection trajectory Stable
Definition

Direction of change in Prospect Baseline's derived projection.

Model confidence 47
Definition

Prospect Baseline confidence in the current projection.

Projection risk 62
Definition

Prospect Baseline uncertainty and downside-risk index.

Model Range

Model Range0.0
201934
LowMedianHigh
206099
Performance Signal -17.4

Profile Context

RiskWide Range · 62
Model WatchStable model read
Confidence47
TypePitcher

Forecasts

Modeled outcomes, not guarantees
StatusAvailable
2027 projection41.1
Projected range16–66
Arrival probability2%
Productive role probability0%

Forecasts summarize Prospect Baseline model uncertainty. They are directional assessments, not guarantees of future outcomes.

Scouting Tools

Prospect Baseline model tool estimates are not available for this profile.