Prospect Baseline Prospect Baseline
Model Last Run Oct 5, 2026
Player Profile

Steven Echavarria

ATH · AA · P · Age 21

Bats R · Throws R
Prospect Score66.9#294 Overall
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Performance53Developing performance profile
Trend0.0Stable

Projected Outcome

Prospect Baseline model range
Floor58Lower-end outcome
Baseline62Most likely outcome
Ceiling67High-end outcome

Why Prospect Baseline Sees Him This Way

Prospect Baseline surfaced this player because of a balanced combination of projection, performance, and developmental context. The primary separator is whether current performance can close the gap with the longer-term baseline.

Performance

Selected evidence
53Developing performance profile
Miss ability9.6 K/9Near expected range
Command4.0 BB/9Near expected range
Traffic prevention1.45 WHIPNear expected range

Scouting Profile

20–80 scale
Overall40
Fastball55
Slider55
Curveball45
Changeup45
Control45

Source: MLB Pipeline · Updated 2026-09-29

Model Detail
ConfidenceHigh93How much reliable information supports the evaluation.
RiskHigh0Uncertainty surrounding the projected outcome.
Age-to-LevelUnavailableN/AHow advanced the player is relative to the level.
Track RecordUnavailableN/AStability of the model record over time.
Data QualityUnavailableN/ACompleteness and reliability of available inputs.
Forecasts
StatusAvailable
2027 Projection41.7
Projected Range19–64
Arrival Probability40%
Productive Role Probability4%
Player Background
OrganizationAthletics
LevelAA
PositionP
BatsR
ThrowsR
Development History

Model history

Median movement
First recorded 68 Latest recorded 62
74 66 58 2026-09-02 · Median 68 2026-09-03 · Median 70 2026-09-05 · Median 70 2026-09-06 · Median 70 2026-09-09 · Median 62 2026-09-14 · Median 63.2 2026-09-15 · Median 63 2026-09-16 · Median 63 2026-09-17 · Median 63 2026-09-18 · Median 63 2026-09-19 · Median 63 2026-09-21 · Median 63 2026-09-22 · Median 63 2026-09-24 · Median 63 2026-09-25 · Median 63 2026-09-29 · Median 63 2026-09-30 · Median 63 2026-10-03 · Median 63 2026-10-04 · Median 62 2026-10-05 · Median 62 2026-09-02 2026-10-05

2026-10-05 · Median 62

Saved median assessments. Gaps indicate unavailable or non-comparable observations.
View recorded values
DateMedian
2026-10-0562
2026-10-0462
2026-10-0363
2026-09-3063
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2026-09-2563
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2026-09-2163
2026-09-1963
2026-09-1863
2026-09-1763
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2026-09-1463.2
2026-09-0962
2026-09-0670
2026-09-0570
2026-09-0370
2026-09-0268